反舰弹道飞弹 威胁航母进台海

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反舰弹道飞弹 威胁航母进台海

    * 2009-11-25
    * 中国时报
    * 【亓乐义/综合报导】

     据美国海军一份报告显示,中国可能即将部署世界首枚反舰弹道飞弹,专门用来对付美国航母战斗群,使美舰接近中国战略水域时将面对难以进入的「禁区」,如此一来,未来台湾海域极可能成为美航母的「禁航区」,以迫使美军知难而退,动向引起美方高度关注。

     该报告由《彭博新闻社》十七日率先披露,《新华网》昨摘其内容并引用美国海军部情报局报告称,该枚射程达一千五百公里的反舰弹道飞弹,由陆基机动载台发射,「专门为打击美国航空母舰战斗群所设计的。」

     实战部署 已三次地面测试

     华盛顿战略和预算评估中心负责人克雷皮维奇指出,这枚飞弹可能使台海地区变成一个美国航空母舰不得进入的「禁区」。不过,这份由布雷执笔于七月提交的报告,向媒体披露时并未说明飞弹型号,而称飞弹计画已从「概念性设计阶段」即将进入「实战部署阶段」。

     观察家认为,该飞弹极可能是今年大陆国庆阅兵亮相的东风-21C型。另有专家则称,弹道飞弹的制导系统以打击固定目标为主,不具高效调姿能力,难以对付高速机动的航母,今传该飞弹能打航母让人「不可思议」,除非中共飞弹出现重大技术突破,而这正是最可怕之处。美海军官员说,自○六年起,中国进行三次该导弹地面试验,尚未进行飞行试验。

     世界首枚 台海危机后研发

     美国海军评估报告显示,中国是在一九九六年「台海危机」后开始研制该型武器。当时,美国柯林顿政府派遣两艘航母进入台海周边海域,北京震惊之余痛下决心研发该型飞弹,作为打击航母杀手利器。

     《美国海军研究所学报》今年五月号一篇文章称,这种飞弹「可能改变太平洋地区的规则,置美国海军航母战斗群于危险之中。」美国国防部长盖茨九月亦公开指出,中国在反舰武器和弹道飞弹上的投入,可能威胁美国投送兵力和协助太平洋地区盟友的主要手段,「特别是对我们的前沿空军基地和航母战斗群构成威胁。」

     研究中国武器的美国防顾问贾拉也认为,「在美国海军无法行动的地区,美国不可能开展任何空中或地面军事行动。」总之,该型飞弹横空出世,有可能改变美海军今后面对中国问题时的角色扮演。反舰弹道飞弹 威胁航母进台海

    * 2009-11-25
    * 中国时报
    * 【亓乐义/综合报导】

     据美国海军一份报告显示,中国可能即将部署世界首枚反舰弹道飞弹,专门用来对付美国航母战斗群,使美舰接近中国战略水域时将面对难以进入的「禁区」,如此一来,未来台湾海域极可能成为美航母的「禁航区」,以迫使美军知难而退,动向引起美方高度关注。

     该报告由《彭博新闻社》十七日率先披露,《新华网》昨摘其内容并引用美国海军部情报局报告称,该枚射程达一千五百公里的反舰弹道飞弹,由陆基机动载台发射,「专门为打击美国航空母舰战斗群所设计的。」

     实战部署 已三次地面测试

     华盛顿战略和预算评估中心负责人克雷皮维奇指出,这枚飞弹可能使台海地区变成一个美国航空母舰不得进入的「禁区」。不过,这份由布雷执笔于七月提交的报告,向媒体披露时并未说明飞弹型号,而称飞弹计画已从「概念性设计阶段」即将进入「实战部署阶段」。

     观察家认为,该飞弹极可能是今年大陆国庆阅兵亮相的东风-21C型。另有专家则称,弹道飞弹的制导系统以打击固定目标为主,不具高效调姿能力,难以对付高速机动的航母,今传该飞弹能打航母让人「不可思议」,除非中共飞弹出现重大技术突破,而这正是最可怕之处。美海军官员说,自○六年起,中国进行三次该导弹地面试验,尚未进行飞行试验。

     世界首枚 台海危机后研发

     美国海军评估报告显示,中国是在一九九六年「台海危机」后开始研制该型武器。当时,美国柯林顿政府派遣两艘航母进入台海周边海域,北京震惊之余痛下决心研发该型飞弹,作为打击航母杀手利器。

     《美国海军研究所学报》今年五月号一篇文章称,这种飞弹「可能改变太平洋地区的规则,置美国海军航母战斗群于危险之中。」美国国防部长盖茨九月亦公开指出,中国在反舰武器和弹道飞弹上的投入,可能威胁美国投送兵力和协助太平洋地区盟友的主要手段,「特别是对我们的前沿空军基地和航母战斗群构成威胁。」

     研究中国武器的美国防顾问贾拉也认为,「在美国海军无法行动的地区,美国不可能开展任何空中或地面军事行动。」总之,该型飞弹横空出世,有可能改变美海军今后面对中国问题时的角色扮演。
China’s New Missile May Create a ‘No-Go Zone’ for U.S. Fleet

By Tony Capaccio

Nov. 17 (Bloomberg) -- China’s military is close to fielding the world’s first anti-ship ballistic missile, according to U.S. Navy intelligence.

The missile, with a range of almost 900 miles (1,500 kilometers), would be fired from mobile, land-based launchers and is “specifically designed to defeat U.S. carrier strike groups,” the Office of Naval Intelligence reported.

Five of the U.S. Navy’s 11 carriers are based in the Pacific and operate freely in international waters near China. Their mission includes defending Taiwan should China seek to exercise by force its claim to the island democracy, which it considers a breakaway province.

The missile could turn this region into a “no-go zone” for U.S. carriers, said Andrew Krepinevich, president of the Center for Strategic and Budget Assessments in Washington.

Scott Bray, who wrote the ONI report on China’s Navy, said China has made “remarkable progress” on the missile. “In little over a decade, China has taken the program from the conceptual phase” to “near fielding a combat-ready missile,” he said. Bray’s report, issued in July, was provided to Bloomberg News on request.

China also is developing an over-the-horizon radar network to spot U.S. ships at great distances from its mainland, and its navy since 2000 has tripled to 36 from 12 the number of vessels carrying anti-ship weapons, Bray, the ONI’s senior officer for intelligence on China, said in an e-mail.

China’s Strategy

The new missile would support China’s “anti-access” strategy to detect and if necessary attack U.S. warships “at progressively greater distances” from its mainland, Krepinevich said.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates, in a Sept. 16 speech, said China’s “investments in anti-ship weaponry and ballistic missiles could threaten America’s primary way to project power and help allies in the Pacific -- particularly our forward bases and carrier strike groups.”

Admiral Gary Roughead, chief of U.S. naval operations, says the new Chinese missile was one factor in his 2008 decision to cut the DDG-1000 destroyer program from eight ships to three because the vessels lack a missile-defense capability.

The Navy instead plans to build up to seven more Lockheed Martin Corp. Aegis-class DDG-51 destroyers and equip them with the newest radar and missiles.

China’s ballistic missile “portends the sophistication of the threats that we’re going to see,” Roughead said in an interview earlier this year.

China has ground-tested the missile three times since 2006 and conducted no flight tests yet, Navy officials said.

‘Limited Capability’

General Xu Caihou, China’s No. 2 military official, played down the weapon’s significance.

“It is a limited capability” to meet “the minimum requirement of” China’s national security, Xu, vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, said in response to a question following an Oct. 26 speech in Washington.

Mark Stokes, an analyst who has studied the missile program, said the Navy’s assessment indicates China started to develop the weapon after the March 1996 Taiwan “crisis.” That’s when the Clinton administration sent two aircraft carriers and escort warships into the Taiwan Strait and the surrounding area after China fired missiles near the island before its presidential election, Stokes said.

Stokes just published a study of the weapon for the non- profit Project 2049 Institute in Arlington, Virginia, that studies Asia security issues.

Alter Rules

An article in the May 2009 edition of Proceedings, a magazine published by the U.S. Naval Institute, said the missile “could alter the rules in the Pacific and place U.S. Navy carrier strike groups in jeopardy.”

“The mere perception that China might have an anti-ship ballistic missile capability could be a game-changer, with profound consequences for deterrence, military operations and the balance of power in the Western Pacific,” the article said.

Paul Giarra, a defense consultant who studies China’s weapons, called the missile “a remarkably asymmetric Chinese attempt to control the sea from the shore.”

“No American military operations -- air or ground -- are feasible in a region where the U.S. Navy cannot operate,” Giarra, president of Global Strategies and Transformation, based in Herndon, Virginia, said in an e-mail.

The missiles are intended for launch to a general location where their guidance systems take over and spot carriers for attack with warheads intended to neutralize the ships’ threat by destroying aircraft on decks, launching gear and control towers, Giarra said.

The Pentagon, in its latest annual report on China’s military, for the first time included a sketch of the notional flight profile of the new Chinese missile but gave little additional detail.

Sky Wave

Bray said China has the initial elements of its new over- the-horizon radar that can provide the general location of U.S. vessels before launching the new missile.

Stokes said the so-called Sky Wave radar can spot U.S. vessels as far away as 1,860 miles (3,000 kilometers).

Unlike traditional radar that fires radio waves off objects straight ahead, over-the-horizon radar bounces signals off the ionosphere, the uppermost layer of the atmosphere, which can pick up objects at greater distances.

The radar is supplemented by reconnaissance satellites, another Navy official said, requesting anonymity. There are 33 in orbit and that number may grow to 65 by 2014, 11 of which would be capable of conducting ocean surveillance, he said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Tony Capaccio in Washington at acapaccio@bloomberg.net
洗洗睡吧
这MD的舆论导向太牛啦,十一的时候还说是可能有,现在都说已经搞出来了,那美帝还造航妈干鸟!