派兵进驻黎南维和 西方国家踢皮球

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.05pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国《纽约时报》</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">26</font></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">日&nbsp; </span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">欧洲多国外长正热切推动在黎巴嫩南部与以色列接壤地区派驻维和部队,此一构想普受支持,</span><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><font face="Times New Roman">
                                <stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path oconnecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" oextrusionok="f"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></font></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_s1026" oallowoverlap="f" type="#_x0000_t75" style="MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; LEFT: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 199.5pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 170.25pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-position-horizontal: left; mso-position-horizontal-relative: text; mso-position-vertical: top; mso-position-vertical-relative: line;"><imagedata otitle="image053" src="file:///C:/DOCUME~1/ADMINI~1/LOCALS~1/Temp/msoclip1/05/clip_image001.jpg"></imagedata><wrap type="square"></wrap></shape><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">然而各国对派兵都裹足不前,维和部队人力不知从何而来,维和计划有可能雷声大雨点小。欧盟外交政策首长索拉纳近日表示,已有多国酝酿推动安理会授权派遣维和部队到黎南。以国总理欧梅特建议欧洲与阿拉伯国家合组维和部队,以国国防部长裴利兹则提议由北约国家派兵维和。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国国务卿赖斯定于</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">7</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">月</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">26</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">日在意大利罗马与各国商讨黎巴嫩危机对策,指派国际维和部队将是首要议题,但她表明美国不会参加维和行动。至于其它大国与组织,英国与北约组织表示部队分身乏术,法国认为谈维和言之过早。德国更设了一堆条件:以国和黎巴嫩好战组织真主党须先停火且同意德国派兵维和,真主党还得释放俘虏的以军。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国与法国不愿派兵,是基于惨痛的前车之鉴。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">1982</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年以军入侵黎巴嫩后,美法参与国际部队进驻黎国。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">1983</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">10</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">月黎国首都贝鲁特美国陆战队营区遭真主党自杀炸弹攻击,有</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">241</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">名美军及</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">58</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">名法国伞兵丧生,美法也落得灰头土脸,把部队撤出黎国。欧洲一位高阶官员指出,政客都说维和部队立意极佳,“可谁也不说该派哪国士兵去,在塞浦路斯负责后勤的工作,倒是各国抢着要。”</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">真主党不愿外国部队插手,不少人私下也担心,维和部队可能被视为以国盟军,负有打击真主党游击队的任务。北约发言人则表示,尚未接获任何一方要求派遣维和部队。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.05pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国《纽约时报》</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">26</font></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">日&nbsp; </span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">欧洲多国外长正热切推动在黎巴嫩南部与以色列接壤地区派驻维和部队,此一构想普受支持,</span><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><font face="Times New Roman">
                                <stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path oconnecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" oextrusionok="f"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></font></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_s1026" oallowoverlap="f" type="#_x0000_t75" style="MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; LEFT: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 199.5pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 170.25pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-position-horizontal: left; mso-position-horizontal-relative: text; mso-position-vertical: top; mso-position-vertical-relative: line;"><imagedata otitle="image053" src="file:///C:/DOCUME~1/ADMINI~1/LOCALS~1/Temp/msoclip1/05/clip_image001.jpg"></imagedata><wrap type="square"></wrap></shape><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">然而各国对派兵都裹足不前,维和部队人力不知从何而来,维和计划有可能雷声大雨点小。欧盟外交政策首长索拉纳近日表示,已有多国酝酿推动安理会授权派遣维和部队到黎南。以国总理欧梅特建议欧洲与阿拉伯国家合组维和部队,以国国防部长裴利兹则提议由北约国家派兵维和。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国国务卿赖斯定于</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">7</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">月</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">26</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">日在意大利罗马与各国商讨黎巴嫩危机对策,指派国际维和部队将是首要议题,但她表明美国不会参加维和行动。至于其它大国与组织,英国与北约组织表示部队分身乏术,法国认为谈维和言之过早。德国更设了一堆条件:以国和黎巴嫩好战组织真主党须先停火且同意德国派兵维和,真主党还得释放俘虏的以军。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-TW;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国与法国不愿派兵,是基于惨痛的前车之鉴。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">1982</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年以军入侵黎巴嫩后,美法参与国际部队进驻黎国。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">1983</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">10</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">月黎国首都贝鲁特美国陆战队营区遭真主党自杀炸弹攻击,有</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">241</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">名美军及</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">58</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">名法国伞兵丧生,美法也落得灰头土脸,把部队撤出黎国。欧洲一位高阶官员指出,政客都说维和部队立意极佳,“可谁也不说该派哪国士兵去,在塞浦路斯负责后勤的工作,倒是各国抢着要。”</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">真主党不愿外国部队插手,不少人私下也担心,维和部队可能被视为以国盟军,负有打击真主党游击队的任务。北约发言人则表示,尚未接获任何一方要求派遣维和部队。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: navy; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">中东战火“火上浇油”</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: navy;"><font face="Times New Roman">
                                        <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;</span></font></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: navy; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">大削美国影响力</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: navy;"><p></p></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.05pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国《纽约时报》</span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">26</font></span></b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">日 </span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">随着国际油价飙高,原油形塑国际政治的力量也益发明显。中东武装冲突越演越烈,布什政</span><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><font face="Times New Roman">
                                <stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path oconnecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" oextrusionok="f"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></font></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_s1026" oallowoverlap="f" type="#_x0000_t75" style="MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; LEFT: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 207pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 143.25pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-position-horizontal: left; mso-position-horizontal-relative: text; mso-position-vertical: top; mso-position-vertical-relative: line;"><imagedata otitle="image057" src="file:///C:/DOCUME~1/ADMINI~1/LOCALS~1/Temp/msoclip1/06/clip_image001.jpg"></imagedata><wrap type="square"></wrap></shape><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">府已经面临坚持既定政策的另一后遗症:国际油价因为市场唯恐全球原油供应随时可能受到影响的预期心理而上涨。布什政府当前正致力处理伊朗的核问题,允许以色列设法击溃黎巴嫩真主党游击队,并稳定伊拉克政局,然而油价居高不下却压缩了美国在海外发挥影响力的空间,并使美国国内消费者不满的情绪不断累积。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">国际油价日前曾达到每桶</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">78</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美元。专家认为,油价上涨原因并不单纯,市场对于可能出现供应短缺,以及伊朗、叙利亚随时可能卷入黎国战火,进而危及波湾原油供应的预期心理是其一。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">国际政治生态为原油市场投下变量,油市相对亦已开始发挥影响全球权力均势的力量,并使外交战场更加扑朔迷离。部分专家认为,伊朗领导人可能正在讨论,一旦国家安全因黎国战火或其核子计划而受威胁,是否切断原油出口。伊朗官员曾经针对这个问题发出相互矛盾的讯息。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">专家认为,伊朗切断原油出口,牺牲庞大的石油收益,在政治上十分难行,不可能贸然为之。即使伊朗只短暂停止原油出口,也会对全球市场产生巨大的心理冲击。伊朗领导人可能认为,如能对欧洲国家与美国造成经济伤害,于伊朗绝对有利。美国最近多方运作,促使联合国安理会通过必要时制裁伊朗的决议案。俄罗斯、中共及部分欧洲国家认为,伊朗可能强硬以对,切断原油出口。美国官员透露,任何制裁均将排除伊朗的能源产业。果真如此,制裁的效果值得怀疑。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美国官员表示,原油的确使美国的外交政策更加复杂,然而美国的基本政策不会改变,尤其是有关伊朗的部分。美国国务次卿伯恩斯表示:“伊朗诚然是产油大国,却不足以动摇我们与盟邦阻止它取得核武的决心,我们绝不任由伊朗挟其原油予取予求。”</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">然而随着国际油价自美国挥师伊拉克时的每桶</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">27</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美元暴增至如今的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">75</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美元,伊朗对抗西方国家的实力亦随之大增。据估计,国际油价每上涨</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">5</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">美元,伊朗每星期的油元收入就会增加</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">8500</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">万美元,除使伊朗领导人更加有恃无恐外,也使伊朗更有资助真主党的余裕。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p>