China’s Defence Spending Lower Than Previously Esti ...

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China’s Defence Spending Lower Than Previously Estimated
A recent research by the U.S. think-tank RAND Corporation shows that China's defence spending is between 2.3% and 2.8% of the nation's Gross Domestic Product. This is 40%~70% percent higher than official Chinese government figures — but substantially lower than many previous outside estimates of the share of GDP that China devotes to defence.
The study estimates that the purchasing power of current Chinese military spending runs between $69 billion and $78 billion in 2001 dollars, and could reach $185 billion in 2001 dollars in 2025. This amounts to more than 40 percent of current U.S. defence spending. By comparison, U.S. defence spending was 3.9% of its GDP in 2004, amounting to nearly $430 billion.
According a senior RAND researcher, China's defence spending has more than doubled over the past six years, almost catching up with Great Britain and Japan. Although the rate of increase has slowed, by 2025 China will be spending more on defence than any of the U.S. allies.
The study says that already the second largest economy in the world by some measures, China has the economic resources available to fund a robust military modernisation program. Although researchers project that growth in China's economy will slow from recent rates of more than 9% to as little as 3% by 2025, they still forecast China's economy will more than triple in size by 2025.
To address some weaknesses in its defence industries, the Chinese government adopted a number of major reforms in military procurement processes and the operations of defence enterprises. State-run defence firms are now given incentives for improving quality and efficiency, and the government is fostering competition among them. Defence enterprises are also increasingly partnering with civilian enterprises. In addition, China's defence enterprises have benefited from a decade of access to foreign military systems and related equipment, materials and technologies.
Researchers point out that these strategies have been successful in improving the sophistication and quality of the military equipment produced domestically in sectors such as information technology, shipbuilding and defence electronics.
22 May 05China’s Defence Spending Lower Than Previously Estimated
A recent research by the U.S. think-tank RAND Corporation shows that China's defence spending is between 2.3% and 2.8% of the nation's Gross Domestic Product. This is 40%~70% percent higher than official Chinese government figures — but substantially lower than many previous outside estimates of the share of GDP that China devotes to defence.
The study estimates that the purchasing power of current Chinese military spending runs between $69 billion and $78 billion in 2001 dollars, and could reach $185 billion in 2001 dollars in 2025. This amounts to more than 40 percent of current U.S. defence spending. By comparison, U.S. defence spending was 3.9% of its GDP in 2004, amounting to nearly $430 billion.
According a senior RAND researcher, China's defence spending has more than doubled over the past six years, almost catching up with Great Britain and Japan. Although the rate of increase has slowed, by 2025 China will be spending more on defence than any of the U.S. allies.
The study says that already the second largest economy in the world by some measures, China has the economic resources available to fund a robust military modernisation program. Although researchers project that growth in China's economy will slow from recent rates of more than 9% to as little as 3% by 2025, they still forecast China's economy will more than triple in size by 2025.
To address some weaknesses in its defence industries, the Chinese government adopted a number of major reforms in military procurement processes and the operations of defence enterprises. State-run defence firms are now given incentives for improving quality and efficiency, and the government is fostering competition among them. Defence enterprises are also increasingly partnering with civilian enterprises. In addition, China's defence enterprises have benefited from a decade of access to foreign military systems and related equipment, materials and technologies.
Researchers point out that these strategies have been successful in improving the sophistication and quality of the military equipment produced domestically in sectors such as information technology, shipbuilding and defence electronics.
22 May 05
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中国国防开支小于之前估计
美兰得公司估计中国国防开支为中国GDP的2。3%-2。8%。这高于中国官方数字, 但大大地低于其他公布的数字。
这份报告估计中国军方2001年的购买力为690亿至780亿,将与2025年达到1850亿, 这将大于现在的美军购买力40%。对比一下,美国防开支为美国2004年的GDP的3。9%,即将近4300亿。
一位兰得公司高级顾问指出, 中国国防开支6年内增了一倍多,已接近英国与日本。尽管增长态式有索放慢,在2025年,中国的国防开支将比任何一美盟国的国防开支都大。
这份报告指出, 中国作为第二大经济体,有经济资源为其军事现代化出资。尽管有报导指出中国经济将从9%的增长率放慢到3%于2025年,它们仍旧预报中国经济将于2025年达到现在的3倍。
鉴于中国国防工业的弱点,中国政府已致力于军事获取形式与国防企业的改革。国营企业提高质量与效率将给与资助,政府也将搞国营企业互相竞争。国防企业也将与非国防企业挂钩。另外,中国国防企业曾享受了不少其他军事系统和相关工具,材料与技术。指出的是,这些政策有效的提高了国产军用信息产品,船舶建造与电子产品的质量与科技含量。
  国外对中国的评价,也是一个视角。