中國094型核潛艦最快明年服役 威脅美國協防台灣能力

来源:百度文库 编辑:超级军网 时间:2024/04/28 15:43:20
記者周永旭/編譯


美国华盛顿时报3日报导,中国第一艘可以发射潜射型东风31型飞弹的潜舰「094型」核子动力潜舰,美国情报单位评估最快明年可以正式服役。美国军事专家称中国潜舰的发展进度「令人震惊」,使美国防卫台湾更形困难。

094型潜舰是中国最新型核子动力潜舰已经在7月曝光,美国情报机构对渤海湾的葫芦岛造船厂侦测得知,中国正在装配该型潜舰,预料在明年或后年就可以正式服役。

报导说,094型潜舰将是中国第一艘可以发射潜射型东风31型飞弹的潜舰,一位熟悉中国该型新潜舰的美国官员说,当094型潜舰「全面运作,其代表的是更现代、更具有威力的飞弹平台」。另一位情报官员则说,建造潜舰是中国军事发展的优先项目,而094型核子动力潜舰将是「中国第一个真正的洲际战略核子投射系统。」

情报显示,094型潜舰仍在初步的装配阶段,但是明或后年即可正式下水服役。情报指出,该型潜舰尚未装配中国新型的巨浪二型潜射核子飞弹。相关官员说,该级潜舰据信大致上是根据俄罗斯的核子潜舰技术所发展。中央情报局上周一份报告才指出,俄罗斯是中国海军核子动力推进计划的主要科技供应国。

值得注意的是,094型核子动力潜舰的研发进度超乎预期。美国国防部今年5月的报告才说,中国新型飞弹潜舰要等到2010年时才会服役。

在1999年国防情报局的机密报告中说,中国的新型潜舰是其飞弹部队现代化的一环,「机动、固态燃料的飞弹和一艘新的弹道飞弹潜舰将会改善飞弹部队在遭受第一击之后的生存能力」。在这份报告中,国防情报局估计中国要到2020年才会有新的弹道飞弹潜舰。

中国驻美国大使馆官员不愿评论华盛顿时报的报导。

在另一项有关的情报方面,美国情报官员说,中国的巨浪二型飞弹计划在今年夏天遭到挫败,由于试射失败,中国巨浪二型的发展进度被迫延后。中国曾在去年和前年两度试射巨浪二型飞弹。

华盛顿的国际评估和战略中心副主席费学礼表示,中国094型核子动力潜舰是一项「令人震惊的发展」,且进度超乎美国国防部的估计。中国在最近才发展出新的093型攻击潜舰,此外,美国情报机构7月更发现中国研发出新型的「元级」柴油电力攻击潜舰。

费雪礼说,在很短的未来,中国将会取得安全的第二击核子攻击战力,并藉此来支持中国的核子战略,也就是吓阻美国协助防卫台湾。费学礼还估计,巨浪二型飞弹将会是多弹头飞弹。他说,094核子动力潜舰将使得美国防卫台湾更形困难,因为美国必须考虑到核子报复攻击的威胁。

在1999年美国众院所提出的「美国国家安全和军事商业顾虑」报告中曾指出,中国的新型飞弹可能使用了窃自美国的弹头科技。该份报告中说,巨浪二型飞弹射程将超过东风31型,达到1万2000公里,足以攻击美国全国各地的目标。当时这份报告还估计,中国新型的094型潜舰可以待在中国近海,在解放军海空军武力的保护下对美国发动攻击。

094型核子动力潜舰将是中国自夏级核子潜舰之后的最重要发展。夏级潜舰仅配备中程飞弹,由于其推进噪音太大,很难逃过其它攻击潜舰的猎杀。</P>
[此贴子已经被作者于2004-12-3 17:05:40编辑过]
記者周永旭/編譯


美国华盛顿时报3日报导,中国第一艘可以发射潜射型东风31型飞弹的潜舰「094型」核子动力潜舰,美国情报单位评估最快明年可以正式服役。美国军事专家称中国潜舰的发展进度「令人震惊」,使美国防卫台湾更形困难。

094型潜舰是中国最新型核子动力潜舰已经在7月曝光,美国情报机构对渤海湾的葫芦岛造船厂侦测得知,中国正在装配该型潜舰,预料在明年或后年就可以正式服役。

报导说,094型潜舰将是中国第一艘可以发射潜射型东风31型飞弹的潜舰,一位熟悉中国该型新潜舰的美国官员说,当094型潜舰「全面运作,其代表的是更现代、更具有威力的飞弹平台」。另一位情报官员则说,建造潜舰是中国军事发展的优先项目,而094型核子动力潜舰将是「中国第一个真正的洲际战略核子投射系统。」

情报显示,094型潜舰仍在初步的装配阶段,但是明或后年即可正式下水服役。情报指出,该型潜舰尚未装配中国新型的巨浪二型潜射核子飞弹。相关官员说,该级潜舰据信大致上是根据俄罗斯的核子潜舰技术所发展。中央情报局上周一份报告才指出,俄罗斯是中国海军核子动力推进计划的主要科技供应国。

值得注意的是,094型核子动力潜舰的研发进度超乎预期。美国国防部今年5月的报告才说,中国新型飞弹潜舰要等到2010年时才会服役。

在1999年国防情报局的机密报告中说,中国的新型潜舰是其飞弹部队现代化的一环,「机动、固态燃料的飞弹和一艘新的弹道飞弹潜舰将会改善飞弹部队在遭受第一击之后的生存能力」。在这份报告中,国防情报局估计中国要到2020年才会有新的弹道飞弹潜舰。

中国驻美国大使馆官员不愿评论华盛顿时报的报导。

在另一项有关的情报方面,美国情报官员说,中国的巨浪二型飞弹计划在今年夏天遭到挫败,由于试射失败,中国巨浪二型的发展进度被迫延后。中国曾在去年和前年两度试射巨浪二型飞弹。

华盛顿的国际评估和战略中心副主席费学礼表示,中国094型核子动力潜舰是一项「令人震惊的发展」,且进度超乎美国国防部的估计。中国在最近才发展出新的093型攻击潜舰,此外,美国情报机构7月更发现中国研发出新型的「元级」柴油电力攻击潜舰。

费雪礼说,在很短的未来,中国将会取得安全的第二击核子攻击战力,并藉此来支持中国的核子战略,也就是吓阻美国协助防卫台湾。费学礼还估计,巨浪二型飞弹将会是多弹头飞弹。他说,094核子动力潜舰将使得美国防卫台湾更形困难,因为美国必须考虑到核子报复攻击的威胁。

在1999年美国众院所提出的「美国国家安全和军事商业顾虑」报告中曾指出,中国的新型飞弹可能使用了窃自美国的弹头科技。该份报告中说,巨浪二型飞弹射程将超过东风31型,达到1万2000公里,足以攻击美国全国各地的目标。当时这份报告还估计,中国新型的094型潜舰可以待在中国近海,在解放军海空军武力的保护下对美国发动攻击。

094型核子动力潜舰将是中国自夏级核子潜舰之后的最重要发展。夏级潜舰仅配备中程飞弹,由于其推进噪音太大,很难逃过其它攻击潜舰的猎杀。</P>
[此贴子已经被作者于2004-12-3 17:05:40编辑过]
[此贴子已经被作者于2004-12-3 17:12:48编辑过]
<P>我觉得完全不可信!</P>
晕....已经差不离了
巨浪2受挫了?……令人担心!
<P>中國首艘新型飛彈潛艇下水[17:32]</P><P>2004/12/03</P>
<P>中國軍方建造的第一艘新型彈道飛彈潛艇已下水測試,美方認為這是北京的戰略武器計畫向前邁進的一大步。</P><P>華盛頓時報報道,美國情報單位在北京西北方大約250哩的葫蘆島造船廠發現這艘新型零九四級潛艇。它目前處於組裝配備的初步階段,還沒有配備新式JL二型潛艇發射的核子飛彈。美國官員表示,一般相信這艘潛艇大致是根據俄羅斯的核子潛艇科技建造的。</P><P>根據美國國防官員的說法,這種新型的零九四級潛艇是在今年七月下旬下水,在未來一、兩年內完成服役準備後,將成為第一艘配備水中發射的中國新式DF三十一型飛彈的潛艇。</P><P>熟悉有關這一新型潛艇報告的一位官員說:「在完成服役準備時,它將代表一個更現代、更有能力的飛彈平台。」</P><P>另一位情報官員說,建造潛艇是中國當前的首要急務,零九四級潛艇將是「中國的第一個真正的洲際戰略核子發射系統」。</P><P>&lt;早前不是有人说,请记住7月28日这一天吗&gt;</P>
<P>我们准备装备多少艘?</P>
<P>http://www.washingtontimes.com/national/20041202-115302-2338r.htm</P><P>China tests ballistic missile submarine


By Bill Gertz
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
</P><P>China's military has launched the first of a new class of ballistic missile submarines in what defense officials view as a major step forward in Beijing's strategic weapons program.
    The new 094-class submarine was launched in late July and when fully operational in the next year or two will be the first submarine to carry the underwater-launched version of China's new DF-31 missile, according to defense officials.
    "When fully operational, it will represent a more modern, more capable missile platform," said one official familiar with reports of the new submarine. </P><P>    A second intelligence official said building submarines is a top priority of the Chinese, and the Type 094 will be "China's first truly intercontinental strategic nuclear delivery system."
    The new Type 094 was spotted by U.S. intelligence agencies at the Huludao shipyard, located on the coast of Bohai Bay, some 250 miles northwest of Beijing.
    The submarine is in the early stages of being outfitted and is not yet equipped with new JL-2 submarine-launched nuclear missiles.
    The submarine is believed to be based largely on Russian nuclear submarine technology, the officials said.
    A CIA report made public last week stated that Russia was a major supplier of technology to China's naval nuclear propulsion programs.
    The launching of the new missile submarine appears ahead of schedule. A Pentagon report on Chinese military power made public in May stated that the new Chinese missile submarine would not be deployed until around 2010.
    A Defense Intelligence Agency report produced in 1999 and labeled "secret" stated that the new submarine is part of a program by China of "modernizing and expanding its missile force."
    "Mobile, solid-fuel missiles and a new ballistic missile submarine will improve the force's ability to survive a first strike," the report said, "while more launchers, on-board penetration aids, and possibly multiple warheads will improve its ability to penetrate missile defenses."
    The DIA report stated that China is expected to field one new ballistic missile submarine by 2020.
    A Chinese Embassy spokesman had no immediate comment.
    In a related development, U.S. intelligence officials said the Chinese suffered a setback in their JL-2 missile program when a test flight of the JL-2 missile failed over the summer.
    The JL-2 missile program was delayed by the test failure but is continuing to be developed, the officials said. China conducted tests of the JL-2 in 2002 and last year.
    Richard Fisher, vice president of the Washington-based International Assessment and Strategy Center, said the launch of the new missile submarine is "an astounding development."
    "The 094 has followed 093 development far more rapidly than the assessments in the annual Pentagon reports on the PLA," Mr. Fisher said, referring to the China's People's Liberation Army.
    China also recently launched a new attack submarine known as the Type 093. Additionally, U.S. intelligence agencies were surprised by China's disclosure in July of a third new type of submarine known as the Yuan-class, a diesel-electric attack submarine.
    "In the very near future, China will have a secure, second-strike nuclear attack capability that it will use to bolster its nuclear strategy of seeking to deter the United States from aiding Taiwan after a PLA attack," Mr. Fisher said.
    Mr. Fisher said the JL-2 likely will have multiple warheads.
    The new submarine will make it more difficult for the U.S. military to take part in a defense of Taiwan because of the threat of nuclear retaliation, he said.
    The Pentagon has deployed a new missile defense system, but a spokesman for the Missile Defense Agency has said the current interceptor system is designed to stop a long-range North Korean missile, but not an attack from Chinese or Russian missiles.
    A 1999 report by the House Select Committee on U.S. National Security and Military/Commercial Concerns with the People's Republic of China stated that the new missile submarine will likely benefit from stolen U.S. nuclear warhead designs.
    The report stated that the JL-2 is expected to have a longer range than the DF-31 and that 16 JL-2s will be deployed on the new submarine.
    The range of the JL-2 is estimated to be about 7,500 miles, enough "to strike targets throughout the United States," the report said.
    "Instead of venturing into the open ocean to attack the United States, the Type 094-class submarines could remain near [Chinese] waters, protected by the [People's Liberation Army,] Navy and Air Force," the report said.
    The new submarine will be a major improvement over China's current ballistic missile submarine known as the Xia, which is equipped with medium-range missiles.
    The current Xia submarine is considered so noisy to underwater detection gear that its chances of surviving attack submarine strikes in ocean waters are limited.
   



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<P>狗嘴里吐不出象牙。</P>
[此贴子已经被作者于2004-12-3 18:01:37编辑过]
真的就好.
看看
<B>以下是引用<I>音乐虫子</I>在2004-12-3 17:39:00的发言:</B>

<P>&lt;早前不是有人说,请记住7月28日这一天吗&gt;</P>

<P>我以为是说元级。呵呵!
<B>以下是引用<I>lumuyu</I>在2004-12-3 17:46:00的发言:</B>

<P>我们准备装备多少艘?</P>

<P>你是不想去喝茶?我可以举报你一下!做个准备吧!</P>
<P>发现包子欺负我们米兰皇朝的人,B4一下先~~~</P><P>弹道核潜艇最好要有3艘以上,才能随时保持威慑作用吧~~~</P>
<P>大力发展潜艇!</P><P>PS:无意发现我们米兰的大家庭!</P>
<P>华盛顿时报???</P><P>TMD</P>
<B>以下是引用<I>redfalcon</I>在2004-12-3 17:38:00的发言:</B>
巨浪2受挫了?……令人担心!

<P>东风31就是巨浪2呀。</P>
好啊~我们就是要大力发展潜艇
<P>有了就说有  没有就说没有  我们也是 有什么不可见人的?</P><P>拉出来让俺们也看一哈啦!</P>
根本不可信
下面是美联社的报道。基本和上面的差不多,不过提到我们的洲际导弹现在20枚,明年增加到30枚,到2010年增加到60枚。


China Launches New Class of Nuclear Sub

By JOHN J. LUMPKIN
The Associated Press
Friday, December 3, 2004; 4:11 PM

WASHINGTON - China has launched the first submarine in a new class of nuclear subs designed to fire intercontinental ballistic missiles, U.S. defense officials said Friday.

The submarine is, at a minimum, months away from having missiles installed and going on a cruise, one official said, discussing foreign weapons developments only on the condition of anonymity. Still, it is further evidence of China's intentions to expand both its nuclear weapons and submarine forces, officials say.

It was widely known that China was building the new class of nuclear-missile submarine, called the "Type 094," but the launch is far ahead of what U.S. intelligence expected, one official said.

The launch was first reported in The Washington Times. The newspaper reported that U.S. intelligence spotted the sub at a shipyard 250 miles northwest of Beijing.

It would be China's first submarine capable of launching nuclear weapons that could reach the United States from the country's home waters, officials said.

The Chinese military has also been developing a new class of submarine-launched ballistic missile, called the JL-2, that is expected to have a range in excess of 4,600 miles. The Type 094 submarine would carry these missiles, but it is not clear whether the missiles are ready for deployment.

Previously, China has had only one submarine capable of launching nuclear missiles, called the Type 092, or Xia, class. In 2001, a Pentagon report said the Xia was not operational. Its missiles were of an older class that could fly only 600 miles.

Successful cruises by the Type 094 would give China a new strategic deterrent against the United States, no longer limited to land-based ICBMs and weapons carried on aircraft. But U.S. defense officials say China lags behind the United States in its ability to hide submarines from sophisticated sonars and other sensors.

China is also modernizing its land-based nuclear missile force, replacing its estimated 20 ICBMs with more modern versions. In a report on China's military issued last May, the Pentagon said China's cache of ICBMs could increase to 30 by next year and 60 by 2010.

Although considered unlikely in the near term, the most likely avenue for conflict between the United States and China is over Taiwan, which China regards as a rogue province. Taiwan is seeking high-tech weaponry from the United States, including diesel submarines and anti-submarine aircraft.

The United States, France, Russia and the United Kingdom all have submarines capable of launching ballistic missiles with nuclear warheads.
<B>以下是引用<I>lumuyu</I>在2004-12-3 17:46:00的发言:</B>

<P>我们准备装备多少艘?</P>

3~5艘差不多了吧
我是唐山的对7月28比较敏感,那是地震的日子!
<P>可以把服役时间提前半年,(纯猜测而已)!</P><P>美国情报机关象是一群大蠢猪!还偷你技术,开玩笑!我们的039俄毛子看一下都不行,怎么可能093、094用俄罗斯的技术!明明自己当贼还诬陷人家!</P>
<P>东森上的东西,您就当个乐看就得了,</P><P>东森就是台独之音</P>
我个人认为:093要20艘.094要6艘.才好使。
<B>以下是引用<I>wyw1208</I>在2004-12-5 21:48:00的发言:</B>
我个人认为:093要20艘.094要6艘.才好使。

<P>
<P>感觉象大跃进</P>
<P>就现在的情况 能有一半我就满足了~</P>
没正式公布的就不可信
好,支持
<B>以下是引用<I>音乐虫子</I>在2004-12-3 17:39:00的发言:</B>

<P>中國首艘新型飛彈潛艇下水[17:32]</P>
<P>2004/12/03</P>
<P>&lt;早前不是有人说,请记住7月28日这一天吗&gt;!!!</P>

<P>同意!现在看来不错,7.28是我们值得庆贺得日子!</P>