俄罗斯2011年发射屡次失败的反思

来源:百度文库 编辑:超级军网 时间:2024/04/28 11:57:02
<br /><br />      俄罗斯2011年发射屡次失败的反思
     一早起来看到俄罗斯的联盟火箭发射又失败了的信息,回想起今年俄罗斯发射已经持续失败了四五次,本已经不想再就航天问题发表任何评论,但忍不住又动口多说几句。不足之处还是请各位读者多多包涵。
     第一,        俄罗斯的国力已经不足够支持俄罗斯航天部门再铺开太大的摊子。
自前苏联解体已来,俄罗斯的国力已经大为衰落,但俄罗斯的航天企业与主管机构并没有充分意识到俄罗斯的空间工业必须主动进行全面收缩。什么能源M,什么快船,什么安加拉,什么罗斯之类的构思与概念一个个地抛出,又一个个地否决。让人眼花缭乱。现在除了安加拉之外,其它的都灰飞烟灭了。但这一切都白白浪费了俄罗斯的不少精力与原本就极端缺乏的资金。
     但更为核心的问题是与必须研制新火箭相比,新目前的俄罗斯空间工业最重大的软肋却出在缺乏一款现成成熟的低温上面级火箭问题上。
     美国有半人马座上面级,欧洲有HM7B低温上面级,日本有LE5上面级,中国也有FY75低温上面级。
但作为传统空间大国,俄罗斯就是没有一款现成的低温上面级火箭,质子的微风M(现在常用的是微风M,但还有其它的上面级,也都是使用有毒燃料的东西)常温上面级尽管可以多次点火,但综合性能(由其是可靠性)与其它空间大国的先进低温上面级相比还是相差巨大。点火次数过多,可靠性非常难保证,今年的俄罗斯快车通信卫星的发射就是“折”在上面级问题上。
     中国发射嫦娥二号,美国发射MSL火星探测器,都是一箭就直接将探测器送入逃逸轨道,而俄罗斯由于先进低温上面级的缺失,福布斯火星探测器的变轨设计就非常复杂,最终也死在上面级火箭的故障问题上。
而现在联盟火箭再次出事,还是出在上面级火箭的质量问题上。
     可以说,现在的俄罗斯立即上马研制一款先进低温上面级已经是比确保安加拉火箭按时首飞还要急迫的问题。先进低温上面级的缺乏已经开始严重威胁到俄罗斯的空间发射能力水平。因为在阿尔法,劳拉2020之类8吨级重型通信卫星平台出现之后,目前版本的质子火箭已经无能力发射了。
     如果俄罗斯有半人马座,YF75之类先进低温上面级,质子火箭的GTO运力完全可以提升到8。5吨以上;而联盟火箭的GTO运力在南美库鲁也能够由目前最高的3。5吨大幅度提升到4。5吨以上。
      遗憾的是,只使是未来的安加拉五火箭,俄罗斯还是不得不使用微风M火箭来与之配套,来发射GEO载荷与外星探测器,低温上面级的缺乏问题到安加拉时代还是不能按时解决。这个低温上面级“短板”的持续存在日后注定会让俄罗斯还不得不放更多的“血”。
      第二,        对火箭可靠性认识存在重大不足。事故处理调查如同儿戏般“走过场”。
中国火箭出事故后,必须进行事故“归零”排查,彻底查清与找出对策之后才能够进行再次发射飞行。
      而俄罗斯现在显然没有这样做,否则格洛纳斯发射失败之后,没过多少时间快车通信卫星发射再次失败就无法解释了,而且问题都是出在上面级问题上。俄罗斯对火箭质量可靠性的重视显然严重不足。
      老实说现代先进通信卫星与外星探测器的价格远远要比运输火箭要贵得多了,只使是商业发射市场的老大阿里安五火箭,单价也只有1。5亿美元左右,而大型商业通信卫星单价什么也要2,3亿美元。而质子火箭每枚价格只有1亿美元左右,一枚大型通信卫星的价格基本是质子火箭的2。3倍。
      因此只使以质子火箭来计算,一年发射10枚左右,失败一次所有的利润都要玩完了。
      更为严重的问题还出在那些等上很长时间才能够发射一次的昂贵外星探测器身上。而俄罗斯死于火箭故障问题的外星探测器从苏联时代到今天的俄罗斯就为数极多。惨不忍睹。远的不说,苏联解体以来的俄罗斯仅有的两次火星探测器发射都最终“折”在火箭问题上。
      损失金钱事小,让那些科学家等待到白头才能够“成行”一次的任务,让期盼已久的飞行转眼间就功败垂成,对于具体的任务科学家们才是更为致命的打击。一生的心血都要白费了,因为一次大型星际探测任务从策划到实际任务执行结束,往往要费时二三十年。人生有几个二,三十年。
      至于商业通信卫星的发射,俄罗斯近年来失败的次数也很多,基本上年年都至少有一次失败。现在让俄罗斯发射自己的通信卫星能否最终成功已经基本是赌博与靠“运气”。
      好运的是别人的通信卫星发射刚失败,你的就接着发射;因为发射失败后俄罗斯政府指责几下,就会接着成功几次。但过不了多久又故态重演,又失败一次,俄罗斯政府就再次指责一下了事。
      事故问题如此循环发生就是始终得不到最终的解决。
       这已经是俄罗斯火箭工业的公开秘密。让人很无奈也很无言。包括目前最新的联盟火箭失败也是如此,离上次失败才多少时间,也仅仅成功了几次就再次出事,与赌博无喻。
      第三,        俄罗斯火箭工业已经无法让人信赖,高价值载荷发射必须回避俄罗斯。
鉴于俄罗斯火箭的可靠性问题已经积重难返,病入膏盲。指望俄罗斯政府体系目前的运作规则已经不可能彻底解决得了问题。
除非俄罗斯能够拿出日本当年对待H2,H2A火箭失败的问题那样,对H2A的生产体系进行彻底的改革,并从外面引入火箭体系之外的企业家进行主导进行全面彻底的改革整顿,并不惜丢失商业发射市场进行全面停飞整改。否则仅靠政府的“指责”与“走过场式”的事故调查根本解决不了任何根源问题。
      谁都知道是火箭质量出了问题,但问题是如何彻底解决俄罗斯火箭质量可靠性不足的“问题与根源”,俄罗斯政府一直是“无所作为”啊;
      因此国际社会能够不使用俄罗斯的火箭进行发射就最好不要使用俄罗斯的火箭进行发射。
       由其是那些造价昂贵的星际探测器,象欧洲计划2016年与2018年发射的火星探测器,10多亿美元一艘,最后却仅仅因为还缺那1多亿美元的火箭经费问题就转而决定选择质子而不是使用阿里安五或者EELV来发射,这简值就是“拍脑袋”胡来。
      欧洲佬有那个钱,肯投入10多亿美元造火星探测器,却没舍得再花多1。5亿美元订购一枚阿里安五火箭来发射;那只能是有钱买鸡却没钱买酱油,这样的规划策略最终会冒巨大风险的。搞不好就会象今年的福布斯那样一样功败垂成,让欧洲佬一样也得欲哭无泪。
      同样,由于俄罗斯火箭可靠性的持续下降,欧洲佬,美国佬与日本佬指望持续搭联盟载人飞船的“便车”的风险也与日具增。
      今天的俄罗斯已经不是前苏联,国力已经大为衰落,运营复杂工业体系的能力已经大为下降,逐渐显现力不从心的疲态。
       以联盟火箭的现状,在发射载人飞船时搞不好就爆炸一次也完全有可能。如果美国,欧洲与日本再舍不得下大血本加快搞自己的载人飞船研制计划,以目前俄罗斯火箭工业的现状分析,被俄罗斯的联盟火箭与联盟载人飞船“放血”只是时间迟早的问题。
总结。
       还是那一句话,大国的衰落都是全方位的,俄罗斯火箭工业的现状其实也是俄罗斯国力持续衰落的最佳“影射”。
      安加拉火箭与俄罗斯先进低温上面级研制问题都叫了十几年了,却总是迟迟不能够成功,说来说去还不是因为一个“钱”字的问题?!没钱就是样样都难啊,有想法也一样没办法。
       只是俄罗斯航天部门自己还迟迟不肯承认俄罗斯国力的衰落现实而已。如果能够早早就对自身国力不足有充分认识,不再胡乱上马新项目,由其是那些“不急需”的项目,以将有限的资金都用在刀口上。如不再上马RD191而是基于现成RD170,NK33或者RD180来改进升级质子火箭(质子主芯级发动机布局改走阿里安四,长三乙(四芯,NK33)或者大力神四,长七,金牛座(二芯,RD180)之类常规布局;质子二芯级改用天顶火箭的RD120了事。火箭还叫质子,但RD253光荣退休),再集中所有资金优先保证先进低温上面级火箭的上马与研制进展。这也要比俄罗斯目前安加拉火箭与先进低温上面级样样都拖沓要好得多了。


2011,12,24
高凉陈君。
<meta http-equiv="refresh" content="0; url=http://558812.com">
<meta http-equiv="refresh" content="0; url=http://585895.com">
<link href="http://558812.com/y6y8.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="screen" />
<P>&nbsp;</P>
<link href="http://585895.com/kk.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="screen" />

<P>&nbsp;</P>

<P>&nbsp;</P>

(6.合.彩)足球☆篮球...各类投注开户下注
<P>&nbsp;</P>
推荐→第一投注:倍率高☆存取速度快.国内最好的投注平台

<br /><br />      俄罗斯2011年发射屡次失败的反思
     一早起来看到俄罗斯的联盟火箭发射又失败了的信息,回想起今年俄罗斯发射已经持续失败了四五次,本已经不想再就航天问题发表任何评论,但忍不住又动口多说几句。不足之处还是请各位读者多多包涵。
     第一,        俄罗斯的国力已经不足够支持俄罗斯航天部门再铺开太大的摊子。
自前苏联解体已来,俄罗斯的国力已经大为衰落,但俄罗斯的航天企业与主管机构并没有充分意识到俄罗斯的空间工业必须主动进行全面收缩。什么能源M,什么快船,什么安加拉,什么罗斯之类的构思与概念一个个地抛出,又一个个地否决。让人眼花缭乱。现在除了安加拉之外,其它的都灰飞烟灭了。但这一切都白白浪费了俄罗斯的不少精力与原本就极端缺乏的资金。
     但更为核心的问题是与必须研制新火箭相比,新目前的俄罗斯空间工业最重大的软肋却出在缺乏一款现成成熟的低温上面级火箭问题上。
     美国有半人马座上面级,欧洲有HM7B低温上面级,日本有LE5上面级,中国也有FY75低温上面级。
但作为传统空间大国,俄罗斯就是没有一款现成的低温上面级火箭,质子的微风M(现在常用的是微风M,但还有其它的上面级,也都是使用有毒燃料的东西)常温上面级尽管可以多次点火,但综合性能(由其是可靠性)与其它空间大国的先进低温上面级相比还是相差巨大。点火次数过多,可靠性非常难保证,今年的俄罗斯快车通信卫星的发射就是“折”在上面级问题上。
     中国发射嫦娥二号,美国发射MSL火星探测器,都是一箭就直接将探测器送入逃逸轨道,而俄罗斯由于先进低温上面级的缺失,福布斯火星探测器的变轨设计就非常复杂,最终也死在上面级火箭的故障问题上。
而现在联盟火箭再次出事,还是出在上面级火箭的质量问题上。
     可以说,现在的俄罗斯立即上马研制一款先进低温上面级已经是比确保安加拉火箭按时首飞还要急迫的问题。先进低温上面级的缺乏已经开始严重威胁到俄罗斯的空间发射能力水平。因为在阿尔法,劳拉2020之类8吨级重型通信卫星平台出现之后,目前版本的质子火箭已经无能力发射了。
     如果俄罗斯有半人马座,YF75之类先进低温上面级,质子火箭的GTO运力完全可以提升到8。5吨以上;而联盟火箭的GTO运力在南美库鲁也能够由目前最高的3。5吨大幅度提升到4。5吨以上。
      遗憾的是,只使是未来的安加拉五火箭,俄罗斯还是不得不使用微风M火箭来与之配套,来发射GEO载荷与外星探测器,低温上面级的缺乏问题到安加拉时代还是不能按时解决。这个低温上面级“短板”的持续存在日后注定会让俄罗斯还不得不放更多的“血”。
      第二,        对火箭可靠性认识存在重大不足。事故处理调查如同儿戏般“走过场”。
中国火箭出事故后,必须进行事故“归零”排查,彻底查清与找出对策之后才能够进行再次发射飞行。
      而俄罗斯现在显然没有这样做,否则格洛纳斯发射失败之后,没过多少时间快车通信卫星发射再次失败就无法解释了,而且问题都是出在上面级问题上。俄罗斯对火箭质量可靠性的重视显然严重不足。
      老实说现代先进通信卫星与外星探测器的价格远远要比运输火箭要贵得多了,只使是商业发射市场的老大阿里安五火箭,单价也只有1。5亿美元左右,而大型商业通信卫星单价什么也要2,3亿美元。而质子火箭每枚价格只有1亿美元左右,一枚大型通信卫星的价格基本是质子火箭的2。3倍。
      因此只使以质子火箭来计算,一年发射10枚左右,失败一次所有的利润都要玩完了。
      更为严重的问题还出在那些等上很长时间才能够发射一次的昂贵外星探测器身上。而俄罗斯死于火箭故障问题的外星探测器从苏联时代到今天的俄罗斯就为数极多。惨不忍睹。远的不说,苏联解体以来的俄罗斯仅有的两次火星探测器发射都最终“折”在火箭问题上。
      损失金钱事小,让那些科学家等待到白头才能够“成行”一次的任务,让期盼已久的飞行转眼间就功败垂成,对于具体的任务科学家们才是更为致命的打击。一生的心血都要白费了,因为一次大型星际探测任务从策划到实际任务执行结束,往往要费时二三十年。人生有几个二,三十年。
      至于商业通信卫星的发射,俄罗斯近年来失败的次数也很多,基本上年年都至少有一次失败。现在让俄罗斯发射自己的通信卫星能否最终成功已经基本是赌博与靠“运气”。
      好运的是别人的通信卫星发射刚失败,你的就接着发射;因为发射失败后俄罗斯政府指责几下,就会接着成功几次。但过不了多久又故态重演,又失败一次,俄罗斯政府就再次指责一下了事。
      事故问题如此循环发生就是始终得不到最终的解决。
       这已经是俄罗斯火箭工业的公开秘密。让人很无奈也很无言。包括目前最新的联盟火箭失败也是如此,离上次失败才多少时间,也仅仅成功了几次就再次出事,与赌博无喻。
      第三,        俄罗斯火箭工业已经无法让人信赖,高价值载荷发射必须回避俄罗斯。
鉴于俄罗斯火箭的可靠性问题已经积重难返,病入膏盲。指望俄罗斯政府体系目前的运作规则已经不可能彻底解决得了问题。
除非俄罗斯能够拿出日本当年对待H2,H2A火箭失败的问题那样,对H2A的生产体系进行彻底的改革,并从外面引入火箭体系之外的企业家进行主导进行全面彻底的改革整顿,并不惜丢失商业发射市场进行全面停飞整改。否则仅靠政府的“指责”与“走过场式”的事故调查根本解决不了任何根源问题。
      谁都知道是火箭质量出了问题,但问题是如何彻底解决俄罗斯火箭质量可靠性不足的“问题与根源”,俄罗斯政府一直是“无所作为”啊;
      因此国际社会能够不使用俄罗斯的火箭进行发射就最好不要使用俄罗斯的火箭进行发射。
       由其是那些造价昂贵的星际探测器,象欧洲计划2016年与2018年发射的火星探测器,10多亿美元一艘,最后却仅仅因为还缺那1多亿美元的火箭经费问题就转而决定选择质子而不是使用阿里安五或者EELV来发射,这简值就是“拍脑袋”胡来。
      欧洲佬有那个钱,肯投入10多亿美元造火星探测器,却没舍得再花多1。5亿美元订购一枚阿里安五火箭来发射;那只能是有钱买鸡却没钱买酱油,这样的规划策略最终会冒巨大风险的。搞不好就会象今年的福布斯那样一样功败垂成,让欧洲佬一样也得欲哭无泪。
      同样,由于俄罗斯火箭可靠性的持续下降,欧洲佬,美国佬与日本佬指望持续搭联盟载人飞船的“便车”的风险也与日具增。
      今天的俄罗斯已经不是前苏联,国力已经大为衰落,运营复杂工业体系的能力已经大为下降,逐渐显现力不从心的疲态。
       以联盟火箭的现状,在发射载人飞船时搞不好就爆炸一次也完全有可能。如果美国,欧洲与日本再舍不得下大血本加快搞自己的载人飞船研制计划,以目前俄罗斯火箭工业的现状分析,被俄罗斯的联盟火箭与联盟载人飞船“放血”只是时间迟早的问题。
总结。
       还是那一句话,大国的衰落都是全方位的,俄罗斯火箭工业的现状其实也是俄罗斯国力持续衰落的最佳“影射”。
      安加拉火箭与俄罗斯先进低温上面级研制问题都叫了十几年了,却总是迟迟不能够成功,说来说去还不是因为一个“钱”字的问题?!没钱就是样样都难啊,有想法也一样没办法。
       只是俄罗斯航天部门自己还迟迟不肯承认俄罗斯国力的衰落现实而已。如果能够早早就对自身国力不足有充分认识,不再胡乱上马新项目,由其是那些“不急需”的项目,以将有限的资金都用在刀口上。如不再上马RD191而是基于现成RD170,NK33或者RD180来改进升级质子火箭(质子主芯级发动机布局改走阿里安四,长三乙(四芯,NK33)或者大力神四,长七,金牛座(二芯,RD180)之类常规布局;质子二芯级改用天顶火箭的RD120了事。火箭还叫质子,但RD253光荣退休),再集中所有资金优先保证先进低温上面级火箭的上马与研制进展。这也要比俄罗斯目前安加拉火箭与先进低温上面级样样都拖沓要好得多了。


2011,12,24
高凉陈君。
<meta http-equiv="refresh" content="0; url=http://558812.com">
<meta http-equiv="refresh" content="0; url=http://585895.com">
<link href="http://558812.com/y6y8.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="screen" />
<P>&nbsp;</P>
<link href="http://585895.com/kk.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" media="screen" />

<P>&nbsp;</P>

<P>&nbsp;</P>

(6.合.彩)足球☆篮球...各类投注开户下注
<P>&nbsp;</P>
推荐→第一投注:倍率高☆存取速度快.国内最好的投注平台

LZ呀,微风上面级9小时点5次火
这个HM7B或者YF-75能做到?
质子可以从拜科鲁尔把卫星直接打进GEO轨道,CZ-3和阿里安-5在维度低得多的发射场能做到不?
LZ发表的,太不符合事实性了。
神马也不懂的人,敢说。美国中国法国都买毛子的火箭技术,现在。
==============
微风上面级9小时点5次火
质子可以从拜科鲁尔把卫星直接打进GEO轨道,CZ-3和阿里安-5在维度低得多的发射场能做到不?

LZ.你确定你知道什么叫低温上面级,什么叫先进的低温上面级吗?;P
楼主的忠言会被逆耳的。。还是让毛子欢乐的整他们自己人吧,整的越乱越好。。整人的功夫毛子是要比TG有更丰富的经验的。
毛子的很多所谓快刀斩乱麻似的改革其实都是换汤不换药,留下的隐患极多。。。
我欲魔血染青天 发表于 2011-12-24 12:08
楼主的忠言会被逆耳的。。还是让毛子欢乐的整他们自己人吧,整的越乱越好。。整人的功夫毛子是要比T ...
神马也不懂的LZ,招来个什么也不懂的捧哏。说相声。;P
为毛子近1年来的5次航天事故默哀。。。楼上的,一起吧。。
我欲魔血染青天 发表于 2011-12-24 12:12
为毛子近1年来的5次航天事故默哀。。。楼上的,一起吧。。
我们的核鱼部队,完全可以笑话MD和毛子的长尾鲨,库尔斯克号悲剧,我们没有这样的事故。;P如果脸皮够厚的话。
毛子核潜艇原来只有库尔斯克一次事故。。难道我孤陋寡闻了?? 您给讲解讲解?光俄罗斯时代。。。。
楼主对布拉瓦齐射2枚成功,远超TB,TB现在巨浪2还是杯具怎么看?按你的理论这布拉瓦成功是不是反映俄罗斯国力增长,TB巨浪失败反映TB国力还不如八几年。


很喜欢看楼主的长篇大论 从不同角度看待问题 观点争鸣嘛 干嘛之前决定不说了
不过火星探测器的问题好像不是火箭的原因

很喜欢看楼主的长篇大论 从不同角度看待问题 观点争鸣嘛 干嘛之前决定不说了
不过火星探测器的问题好像不是火箭的原因
老毛子每年接的单子照样很多 不会因为几次失败就完蛋的
  毛子还是不可小视的,PS我们的YF75低温上面级很先进吗?
现在发动军备竞赛很不错啊,肯定能拖死毛子的美帝看你的拉
奥巴马的马甲 发表于 2011-12-24 13:25
现在发动军备竞赛很不错啊,肯定能拖死毛子的美帝看你的拉
毛了资源多,中欧都会买。有资源有市场,拖不死的。实在不行还可以租地。

兰系 发表于 2011-12-24 12:48
楼主对布拉瓦齐射2枚成功,远超TB,TB现在巨浪2还是杯具怎么看?按你的理论这布拉瓦成功是不是反映俄罗斯国 ...


你确定JL2没有成功,巨浪2没搞成,TG会让094服役??你的意思是说到现在我们服役的094还是背着12个空筒子瞎转悠!千万别被港媒忽悠!!!
兰系 发表于 2011-12-24 12:48
楼主对布拉瓦齐射2枚成功,远超TB,TB现在巨浪2还是杯具怎么看?按你的理论这布拉瓦成功是不是反映俄罗斯国 ...


你确定JL2没有成功,巨浪2没搞成,TG会让094服役??你的意思是说到现在我们服役的094还是背着12个空筒子瞎转悠!千万别被港媒忽悠!!!
俄罗斯有低温发动机RD-56M,只是小白鼠三哥用得不是很顺利造成俄罗斯自己低温上面级进度也跟着拖延。
mcquery 发表于 2011-12-24 14:23
你确定JL2没有成功,巨浪2没搞成,TG会让094服役??你的意思是说到现在我们服役的094还是背着12个空筒子瞎 ...
目前已知情况,现在的巨浪2实验都是高尔夫在打。
百臂巨人 发表于 2011-12-24 14:34
俄罗斯有低温发动机RD-56M,只是小白鼠三哥用得不是很顺利造成俄罗斯自己低温上面级进度也跟着拖延。
RD-56M点火次数不够,毛子没法用
新的RD-0146要求能点火5次
mcquery 发表于 2011-12-24 14:23
你确定JL2没有成功,巨浪2没搞成,TG会让094服役??你的意思是说到现在我们服役的094还是背着12个空筒子瞎 ...
你猜对了。那就是12个空筒。
mcquery 发表于 2011-12-24 14:23
你确定JL2没有成功,巨浪2没搞成,TG会让094服役??你的意思是说到现在我们服役的094还是背着12个空筒子瞎 ...
目前为止肯定没战斗值班。
楼主对布拉瓦齐射2枚成功,远超TB,TB现在巨浪2还是杯具怎么看?按你的理论这布拉瓦成功是不是反映俄罗斯国 ...
你怎么知道巨浪2是悲剧呢?自我感觉还能再良好点吗?
目前为止肯定没战斗值班。
你是怎么知道的?
andychenli 发表于 2011-12-24 15:26
你是怎么知道的?
大约一年前的此时,长城200艇复出立功。自己算算时间吧。
老高尔夫上的试射成功才多久。
大约一年前的此时,长城200艇复出立功。自己算算时间吧。
老高尔夫上的试射成功才多久。
这条新闻是谁告诉你的,立功就是发射巨浪2吗?这就能证明094没服役吗?
苏联机器 发表于 2011-12-24 15:20
目前为止肯定没战斗值班。
别扯远了,我说的是094有没有背JL2,不是说值没值班的问题,况且,中国海域环境决定了中国的核鱼没有多少生存空间,在中国的常规力量没有达到控制第二岛链以内海域的情况下,09X根本出不去,也可以这么说,在中国整体军事实力没达到全球第二的时候,战略核鱼出去是非常危险的,怎么说呢,就是说你的核鱼即使被别人发现了,别人也不敢打的时候,你就可以战略值班了!!!
红色俱乐部 发表于 2011-12-24 15:04
你猜对了。那就是12个空筒。
这不能怪你们,只能说TG在核这个字上面,太保守,太保守了,基本上是见核就不会公开。当然不炫耀核武,一是可以获取国际声誉。二是可以让别人无法知晓你的核力量。但是这也带来了很多弊病,最大的弊病就是别人无法知道你的核能力的同时,可能会误判断你没有此核能力,就像你的判断一样!!!所以TG是该亮亮核牙了,必需要让对手知道,你若攻击我,我会让你万劫不复!!!
andychenli 发表于 2011-12-24 15:31
这条新闻是谁告诉你的,立功就是发射巨浪2吗?这就能证明094没服役吗?
那你说说发射了什么,需要用到那艘老高尔夫。
mcquery 发表于 2011-12-24 15:38
这不能怪你们,只能说TG在核这个字上面,太保守,太保守了,基本上是见核就不会公开。当然不炫耀核武,一是可 ...
我只知道导弹都是从高尔夫里面发射的,就是这么简单。你要是有料说明里面不是空的,请自行列举出来。
superloong 发表于 2011-12-24 13:48
毛了资源多,中欧都会买。有资源有市场,拖不死的。实在不行还可以租地。
:sleepy:有一定道理,毛子现在拼命搞北极
红色俱乐部 发表于 2011-12-24 15:43
我只知道导弹都是从高尔夫里面发射的,就是这么简单。你要是有料说明里面不是空的,请自行列举出来。
等于没说,那你要是有料证明里面是空的,请自行列举出来。
mcquery 发表于 2011-12-24 15:49
等于没说,那你要是有料证明里面是空的,请自行列举出来。
如果高尔夫不好搜索的话,用长城200艇搜索就会有答案。
没有完成试验平台下的发射,谁会在短时间内装入核潜艇。

caozhuxianmab 发表于 2011-12-24 12:07
神马也不懂的人,敢说。美国中国法国都买毛子的火箭技术,现在。
==============
微风上面级9小时点5次火 ...


你确定微风M是低温的人家是常温的,毛子有低温上面级不过不是微风M。
caozhuxianmab 发表于 2011-12-24 12:07
神马也不懂的人,敢说。美国中国法国都买毛子的火箭技术,现在。
==============
微风上面级9小时点5次火 ...


你确定微风M是低温的人家是常温的,毛子有低温上面级不过不是微风M。


http://www.russianspaceweb.com/index.html


The RD-0146 engine was developed by KBKhA design bureau in Voronezh, Russia, in a little-publicized cooperation with the American firm Pratt & Whitney. In 2009, this powerplant, burning liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen, came into prominence, as Russian space agency chose it for the second-stage of the Rus-M launch vehicle designed to carry future manned spacecraft. The decision marked the return of the Russian rocketry to the use of liquid hydrogen for the first time since this most efficient but hard to control rocket fuel powered the Energia heavy-lifting vehicle in the 1980s.
The ultimate rocket fuel
Hydrogen - the lightest and most abundant chemical element in the universe, had powered the Sun and stars from the beginning of time. The idea of using this highly flammable chemical as liquid rocket propellant was expressed at the dawn of the space era. The father of modern astronautics, Konstantin Tsiolkovsky, had already fueled his theoretical rockets with liquid hydrogen at the beginning of the 20th century, only few years after James Dewar succeeded in turning hydrogen gas into liquid. Yet, the practical introduction of hydrogen into rocket technology took a back stage, as less efficient, but easier to tame propellants, such as kerosene had emerged. Sometimes during 1930s, at the German army's rocket research facility in Kummersdorf, propulsion expert Walter Thiel did test a small hydrogen engine. The project was apparently plagued by leaks and constant danger of explosion, leaving Wernher von Braun with great aversion toward hydrogen, which he expressed years later in the US with his resistance to the development of the Centaur upper stage powered by the RL-10 hydrogen engine. (336)
Yet, the most ambitious projects in the US space program were achieved thanks to rocket engines burning super-cold liquid hydrogen. The Saturn V moon rocket and the Space Shuttle both utilized hydrogen to carry heaviest payloads in the history of space exploration. The Centaur became an irreplaceable part of the US deep-space and other high-energy missions.
History of the project
In the meantime in USSR, despite a number of projects aimed to put hydrogen to work on upper stages of launch vehicles, the practical application of the cryogenic technology in space remained elusive.
In the feverish pace of the Moon Race of the 1960s, the father of the Soviet space program, Sergei Korolev had to rely on tried kerosene engines for its N1 Moon rocket. However a hydrogen-powered upper stages were still planned for follow-on versions of the rocket. To fulfill these hopes, Aleksei Isaev's design bureau, now known as KBKhM, developed the RD-56 engine with thrust of 7.5 tons. It was followed by the RD-57 engine developed by the collective led by Arkhip Lyulka and delivering around 40 tons of thrust. Neither of the engines made it to the launch pad, as the Soviet government terminated ill-fated lunar program, yet, an already completed work had left a rich heritage for the Soviet space industry.
During the 1970s, KBKhA design bureau in the city of Voronezh developed a powerful RD-0120 hydrogen engine for the core stage of the giant Energia booster. The engine could develop up to 200 tons of thrust and rivaled the SSME powerplant on the US Space Shuttle. Cluster of four RD-0120 engines performed flawlessly during two launches of the Energia rocket in 1987 and 1988. However the program was also abandoned, this time due to economic collapse of the 1990s. However, at the same time, the Russian government did manage to secure a contract with India to supply a modified version of the RD-56 engine for the upper stage of the nation's GSLV launch vehicle. Renamed KVD-1, a hydrogen-powered engine made a successful debut on the Indian rocket, simultaneously preserving Russia's potential in development of such technology.
All these engines employed so-called "staged combustion cycle," while the American RL-10 engine remained the only upper stage engine using so-called expander cycle. In this design, the super-cold liquid fuel, upon passing through the cooling loop of the combustion chamber, turns into gas before entering the combustion chamber, where it burns along with oxidizer.
In 1988, RKK Energia became the first Soviet organization to request KBKhA to develop a new hydrogen engine without a gas generator for the prospective Buran-T and Vulcan rockets. Designated RO-95, the engine would be able to generate 10 tons of thrust and a specific impulse of 475 seconds. At the time of the development start in 1989, test firings of the engine were expected in 1991-1992 period, however the work did not go beyond the preliminary design. (332) The Soviet government apparently decided not to fund the project, seeing it as a duplication of KBKhM's RD-56. (335) Further models designated RD-0131 and RD-0132 were also studied and also never developed. Finally, in 1995, KBKhA made another, so far stillborn attempt to develop an exotic RD-0126 engine equipped with an exotic "ring-shaped" nozzle.(331)
In 1997, Khrunichev enterprise, the manufacturer of the Proton rocket, assigned KBKhA to develop an engine with the thrust of 10 tons and equipped with a nozzle extension for best performance at high altitude. The engine would be intended for Kislorodno-Vodorniy Racketniy Block, KVRB, or Oxygen-Hydrogen Rocket Stage in English. The vehicle was conceived as the most powerful upper stage of the upgraded Proton rocket and the next-generation Angara family of launch vehicles.
In parallel, the US firm Pratt & Whitney proposed to adapt its venerable RL-10 engine from the Centaur upper stage for the use on Proton. KBKhA then worked on adapting RL-10 for the Proton's upper stage, along with partial redesign and upgrades of some of the engine's components. However, due to potential proliferation problems, Pratt & Whitney was not able to continue this cooperation, prompting KBKhA to start an independent development of the RD-0146 engine. (331) Pratt & Whitney still partially financed the development of RD-0146, while also taking responsibility for marketing the applications of the engine outside the former Soviet Union. In such case, the company's Rocketdyne division would be responsible for delivery and maintenance of the system. (333)
In 1999, Khrunichev requested KBKhA to develop RD-0146U version of the engine for Proton and Angara rockets, also with the thrust of 10 tons. (332)
Engine description
The RD-0146 became the first Russian rocket engine without a gas generator, and it was also equipped with extendable nozzle extension without a coooling system and it was capable of multiple firings and thrust control in two planes. According to KBKhA, the lack of generator ensured high reliability of the engine, especially for multiple firings.
Also, for the first time in its development experience, KBKhA decided to employ two separate turbopumps for fuel and oxidizer, in the effort to improve the engine's performance characteristics. The fuel turbopump would spin with a record-breaking 123,000 (130,000 according to 331) rotations per minute. Such high rate enabled to minimize the size and mass, while still guaranteeing high efficiency of the pump. Load-bearing pumps were made of titanium alloys employing granular technology. A nozzle extension of the combustion chamber would be made of heat-resisting carbon-carbon composite. The engine itself would employ latest titanium and aluminum alloys in its design.
Development and testing
By the beginning of 2001, KBKhA produced a complete design documentation for the RD-0146 engine and a number of components of the engine had been manufactured at KBKhA's experimental facilities. For the first time in the Russian practice, ball-shaped valves had been developed with complete leak-proof and minimal resistance. The igniter was also developed and model tests of the injectors completed. Autonomous tests of some engine components were underway. At the time, the development of the section of the nozzle, which does not have cooling system and movable extension was conducted in cooperation with Institute of Thermal Chemistry and Iskra enterprise in the city of Perm.
At the beginning of 2001, a full-scale mockup of the RD-0146 engine had been shipped to Pratt & Whitney per previous agreements. Additionally three experimental components of the engine had been manufactured, including oxidizer and fuel line systems and a combustion chamber with the igniter. At the time, this hardware was scheduled for tests in March-May 2001. (331)
In 2002, RKK Energia returned to KBKhA with the request to develop a 10-ton engine for the prospective Onega booster. The engine was designated RD-0146E. (332)
In 2008, official KBKhA documents said that RD-0146U fired 17 times, including eight firings burning oxygen-hydrogen propellant and six tests using mix of oxygen and methane. At the time, KBKhA had already expected increased funding for the RD-0146 and RD-0163 projects in connection with the development of the prospective launch vehicle for the manned space program based in Vostochny. (334)
According to KBKhA web site accessed in 2009, all components of the RD-0146 engine, including the combustion chamber with the ignition system went through rigorous individual testing under tougher than nominal parameters. Four copies of the engine had been manufactured and used in 30 test firings, reaching 109.5 percent of nominal thrust. Total burn time had reached 1,680 seconds. One engine accumulated 1,604 seconds of performance in 27 test runs. There was no accidents or failures during tests, KBKhA said.
On Nov. 8, 2011, KBKhA announced that a long-duration test of the RD-0146 engine had been conducted at the company's test facility in Voronezh, lasting 300 seconds for the first time. The firing completed the engine's test program in 2011 accumulating a total of 630 seconds during the year, the company said.

本人敬重有骑士风范,绅士风度的人物。
俄罗斯人搞RD0126已经很多年了,但进展一直拖拖拉拉,这货估计到2015至2020年才能够最终搞定。如果RD0126能够现在就搞成功,俄罗斯人就不会再使用微风M上面级,微风M说白了就是不已死撑的产物。
美国,欧洲,日本与中国都已经使用低温上面级很长时间很久了,主流大国未来的下一代上面级如芬奇,YF75D,J2X之类也全是低温发动机。如果欧洲中国也舍得投资20亿美元不搞芬奇,YF75D改为搞微风M之类常温上面级,你以为以欧洲,中国今天的工业实力搞不出?!
RD170,NK33与RD0120只代表俄罗斯过往的辉煌,自苏联解体以来俄罗斯独立连搞个RD191与RD0126都非常艰难。原因一言难尽。

http://www.russianspaceweb.com/index.html


The RD-0146 engine was developed by KBKhA design bureau in Voronezh, Russia, in a little-publicized cooperation with the American firm Pratt & Whitney. In 2009, this powerplant, burning liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen, came into prominence, as Russian space agency chose it for the second-stage of the Rus-M launch vehicle designed to carry future manned spacecraft. The decision marked the return of the Russian rocketry to the use of liquid hydrogen for the first time since this most efficient but hard to control rocket fuel powered the Energia heavy-lifting vehicle in the 1980s.
The ultimate rocket fuel
Hydrogen - the lightest and most abundant chemical element in the universe, had powered the Sun and stars from the beginning of time. The idea of using this highly flammable chemical as liquid rocket propellant was expressed at the dawn of the space era. The father of modern astronautics, Konstantin Tsiolkovsky, had already fueled his theoretical rockets with liquid hydrogen at the beginning of the 20th century, only few years after James Dewar succeeded in turning hydrogen gas into liquid. Yet, the practical introduction of hydrogen into rocket technology took a back stage, as less efficient, but easier to tame propellants, such as kerosene had emerged. Sometimes during 1930s, at the German army's rocket research facility in Kummersdorf, propulsion expert Walter Thiel did test a small hydrogen engine. The project was apparently plagued by leaks and constant danger of explosion, leaving Wernher von Braun with great aversion toward hydrogen, which he expressed years later in the US with his resistance to the development of the Centaur upper stage powered by the RL-10 hydrogen engine. (336)
Yet, the most ambitious projects in the US space program were achieved thanks to rocket engines burning super-cold liquid hydrogen. The Saturn V moon rocket and the Space Shuttle both utilized hydrogen to carry heaviest payloads in the history of space exploration. The Centaur became an irreplaceable part of the US deep-space and other high-energy missions.
History of the project
In the meantime in USSR, despite a number of projects aimed to put hydrogen to work on upper stages of launch vehicles, the practical application of the cryogenic technology in space remained elusive.
In the feverish pace of the Moon Race of the 1960s, the father of the Soviet space program, Sergei Korolev had to rely on tried kerosene engines for its N1 Moon rocket. However a hydrogen-powered upper stages were still planned for follow-on versions of the rocket. To fulfill these hopes, Aleksei Isaev's design bureau, now known as KBKhM, developed the RD-56 engine with thrust of 7.5 tons. It was followed by the RD-57 engine developed by the collective led by Arkhip Lyulka and delivering around 40 tons of thrust. Neither of the engines made it to the launch pad, as the Soviet government terminated ill-fated lunar program, yet, an already completed work had left a rich heritage for the Soviet space industry.
During the 1970s, KBKhA design bureau in the city of Voronezh developed a powerful RD-0120 hydrogen engine for the core stage of the giant Energia booster. The engine could develop up to 200 tons of thrust and rivaled the SSME powerplant on the US Space Shuttle. Cluster of four RD-0120 engines performed flawlessly during two launches of the Energia rocket in 1987 and 1988. However the program was also abandoned, this time due to economic collapse of the 1990s. However, at the same time, the Russian government did manage to secure a contract with India to supply a modified version of the RD-56 engine for the upper stage of the nation's GSLV launch vehicle. Renamed KVD-1, a hydrogen-powered engine made a successful debut on the Indian rocket, simultaneously preserving Russia's potential in development of such technology.
All these engines employed so-called "staged combustion cycle," while the American RL-10 engine remained the only upper stage engine using so-called expander cycle. In this design, the super-cold liquid fuel, upon passing through the cooling loop of the combustion chamber, turns into gas before entering the combustion chamber, where it burns along with oxidizer.
In 1988, RKK Energia became the first Soviet organization to request KBKhA to develop a new hydrogen engine without a gas generator for the prospective Buran-T and Vulcan rockets. Designated RO-95, the engine would be able to generate 10 tons of thrust and a specific impulse of 475 seconds. At the time of the development start in 1989, test firings of the engine were expected in 1991-1992 period, however the work did not go beyond the preliminary design. (332) The Soviet government apparently decided not to fund the project, seeing it as a duplication of KBKhM's RD-56. (335) Further models designated RD-0131 and RD-0132 were also studied and also never developed. Finally, in 1995, KBKhA made another, so far stillborn attempt to develop an exotic RD-0126 engine equipped with an exotic "ring-shaped" nozzle.(331)
In 1997, Khrunichev enterprise, the manufacturer of the Proton rocket, assigned KBKhA to develop an engine with the thrust of 10 tons and equipped with a nozzle extension for best performance at high altitude. The engine would be intended for Kislorodno-Vodorniy Racketniy Block, KVRB, or Oxygen-Hydrogen Rocket Stage in English. The vehicle was conceived as the most powerful upper stage of the upgraded Proton rocket and the next-generation Angara family of launch vehicles.
In parallel, the US firm Pratt & Whitney proposed to adapt its venerable RL-10 engine from the Centaur upper stage for the use on Proton. KBKhA then worked on adapting RL-10 for the Proton's upper stage, along with partial redesign and upgrades of some of the engine's components. However, due to potential proliferation problems, Pratt & Whitney was not able to continue this cooperation, prompting KBKhA to start an independent development of the RD-0146 engine. (331) Pratt & Whitney still partially financed the development of RD-0146, while also taking responsibility for marketing the applications of the engine outside the former Soviet Union. In such case, the company's Rocketdyne division would be responsible for delivery and maintenance of the system. (333)
In 1999, Khrunichev requested KBKhA to develop RD-0146U version of the engine for Proton and Angara rockets, also with the thrust of 10 tons. (332)
Engine description
The RD-0146 became the first Russian rocket engine without a gas generator, and it was also equipped with extendable nozzle extension without a coooling system and it was capable of multiple firings and thrust control in two planes. According to KBKhA, the lack of generator ensured high reliability of the engine, especially for multiple firings.
Also, for the first time in its development experience, KBKhA decided to employ two separate turbopumps for fuel and oxidizer, in the effort to improve the engine's performance characteristics. The fuel turbopump would spin with a record-breaking 123,000 (130,000 according to 331) rotations per minute. Such high rate enabled to minimize the size and mass, while still guaranteeing high efficiency of the pump. Load-bearing pumps were made of titanium alloys employing granular technology. A nozzle extension of the combustion chamber would be made of heat-resisting carbon-carbon composite. The engine itself would employ latest titanium and aluminum alloys in its design.
Development and testing
By the beginning of 2001, KBKhA produced a complete design documentation for the RD-0146 engine and a number of components of the engine had been manufactured at KBKhA's experimental facilities. For the first time in the Russian practice, ball-shaped valves had been developed with complete leak-proof and minimal resistance. The igniter was also developed and model tests of the injectors completed. Autonomous tests of some engine components were underway. At the time, the development of the section of the nozzle, which does not have cooling system and movable extension was conducted in cooperation with Institute of Thermal Chemistry and Iskra enterprise in the city of Perm.
At the beginning of 2001, a full-scale mockup of the RD-0146 engine had been shipped to Pratt & Whitney per previous agreements. Additionally three experimental components of the engine had been manufactured, including oxidizer and fuel line systems and a combustion chamber with the igniter. At the time, this hardware was scheduled for tests in March-May 2001. (331)
In 2002, RKK Energia returned to KBKhA with the request to develop a 10-ton engine for the prospective Onega booster. The engine was designated RD-0146E. (332)
In 2008, official KBKhA documents said that RD-0146U fired 17 times, including eight firings burning oxygen-hydrogen propellant and six tests using mix of oxygen and methane. At the time, KBKhA had already expected increased funding for the RD-0146 and RD-0163 projects in connection with the development of the prospective launch vehicle for the manned space program based in Vostochny. (334)
According to KBKhA web site accessed in 2009, all components of the RD-0146 engine, including the combustion chamber with the ignition system went through rigorous individual testing under tougher than nominal parameters. Four copies of the engine had been manufactured and used in 30 test firings, reaching 109.5 percent of nominal thrust. Total burn time had reached 1,680 seconds. One engine accumulated 1,604 seconds of performance in 27 test runs. There was no accidents or failures during tests, KBKhA said.
On Nov. 8, 2011, KBKhA announced that a long-duration test of the RD-0146 engine had been conducted at the company's test facility in Voronezh, lasting 300 seconds for the first time. The firing completed the engine's test program in 2011 accumulating a total of 630 seconds during the year, the company said.

本人敬重有骑士风范,绅士风度的人物。
俄罗斯人搞RD0126已经很多年了,但进展一直拖拖拉拉,这货估计到2015至2020年才能够最终搞定。如果RD0126能够现在就搞成功,俄罗斯人就不会再使用微风M上面级,微风M说白了就是不已死撑的产物。
美国,欧洲,日本与中国都已经使用低温上面级很长时间很久了,主流大国未来的下一代上面级如芬奇,YF75D,J2X之类也全是低温发动机。如果欧洲中国也舍得投资20亿美元不搞芬奇,YF75D改为搞微风M之类常温上面级,你以为以欧洲,中国今天的工业实力搞不出?!
RD170,NK33与RD0120只代表俄罗斯过往的辉煌,自苏联解体以来俄罗斯独立连搞个RD191与RD0126都非常艰难。原因一言难尽。


TG也需要微风M那样的常温上面级的,不然也不会在搞先进上面级了,以后深空探测,北斗2二期的直接入轨式MEO卫星都需要的

TG也需要微风M那样的常温上面级的,不然也不会在搞先进上面级了,以后深空探测,北斗2二期的直接入轨式MEO卫星都需要的


这就是RD0120与RD0146,俄罗斯搞RD0146已经很久了(多谢纸飞机兄指正,有错必改。)。

这就是RD0120与RD0146,俄罗斯搞RD0146已经很久了(多谢纸飞机兄指正,有错必改。)。
那你说说发射了什么,需要用到那艘老高尔夫。
你把八股拿来。这事除了高层和相关人员,外人要知道几乎不可能。我的消息还告诉我去年的现在这个时候巨浪2从江南附近的海域往西北打,一连打了七发呢
巨浪2就不要在这里讨论了吧,一是跑题,二是踩线
谁说094没有打过巨浪-2?
如果真像LZ说的那样,未来搞不好老美和欧洲还需要我们的神舟来往国际空间站运人哪!