中国有在朝鲜局势动乱时派兵控制其核武的应急计划,WASH ...

来源:百度文库 编辑:超级军网 时间:2024/05/01 07:00:10
按美国的专家的说法, 他们从中国的军事研究人员处得知, 中国有在朝鲜局势动乱时派兵控制其核武的应急计划。

China planning to secure North Korea's nuclear arsenal: report

WASHINGTON (AFP) - China has contingency plans to dispatch troops into North Korea and secure nuclear weapons in the event of instability in the hardline communist state, according to US experts who have talked to Chinese military researchers.

Any intervention by Beijing would be done as far as possible after consultations with the United Nations, but unilateral action was not ruled out, the experts said in a report published on the websites of two US think tanks.

"If deemed necessary, PLA troops would be dispatched into North Korea," the report said, referring to the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA).

"China's strong preference is to receive formal authorization and coordinate closely with the UN in such an endeavor," it said.

"However, if the international community did not react in a timely manner as the internal order in North Korea deteriorated rapidly, China would seek to take the initiative in restoring stability."

The report was compiled by experts from the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the US Institute of Peace -- which published the report -- and Asia Foundation following their visit to China in June last year.

North Korea, which reportedly has up to 10 nuclear bombs, is currently involved in a de-nuclearization program in return for energy aid and diplomatic and security guarantees under a six-party mechanism involving also the United States, China, Russia, South Korea and Japan.

The program hit a snag recently after Washington accused Pyongyang of not meeting a December 31 deadline for a full declaration of its nuclear programs.

"According to PLA researchers, contingency plans are in place for the PLA to perform three possible missions" in North Korea -- humanitarian and peacekeeping missions and "environmental control" measures, the report said.

The measures are intended "to clean up nuclear contamination resulting from a strike on North Korean nuclear facilities" near the Sino-North Korean border and "to secure nuclear weapons and fissile materials."

The report -- entitled "Keeping An Eye On An Unruly Neighbor: Chinese views of economic reform and stability in North Korea" -- said that in the event of instability in North Korea, China's main priority would be to prevent a flood of refugees.

This would be done by assuring supplies of food and strengthening border controls, it said.

"PLA officers maintain that they would attempt to close the border, but admit a lack of confidence that they could do so successfully, since the border extends 866 miles (1,394 kimometers) and can be easily penetrated," the report said.

US experts took pains to emphasize that nuclear concern was only one part of the US-China dialogue on North Korea issues among the think tank community.

"The range of issues discussed is comprehensive," Korea expert John Park of the US Institute of Peace told AFP. "Discussion of hypothetical scenarios enables various parties to achieve a better understanding of nuanced views."

China's overall concerns about instability in North Korea, including on the nuclear issue, are not new as they share a long border, said China expert Bonnie Glaser of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"Just as the US is concerned about the possibility of instability in terms of nuclear weapons in Pakistan, the Chinese not surprisingly have concerns about control and security of nuclear facilities and nuclear weapons in the event of instability in North Korea," she said.

The US experts also discussed with Chinese specialists trends in North KoreaÂ’s economy and prospects for reform, current trends in Sino-North Korean economic relations and ChinaÂ’s policy toward North Korea in the wake of Pyongyang's October 2006 nuclear weapons test.

"I think the most important thing that has come out of it has really been increased understanding between experts on both sides about how we look at North Korea," Glaser said.按美国的专家的说法, 他们从中国的军事研究人员处得知, 中国有在朝鲜局势动乱时派兵控制其核武的应急计划。

China planning to secure North Korea's nuclear arsenal: report

WASHINGTON (AFP) - China has contingency plans to dispatch troops into North Korea and secure nuclear weapons in the event of instability in the hardline communist state, according to US experts who have talked to Chinese military researchers.

Any intervention by Beijing would be done as far as possible after consultations with the United Nations, but unilateral action was not ruled out, the experts said in a report published on the websites of two US think tanks.

"If deemed necessary, PLA troops would be dispatched into North Korea," the report said, referring to the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA).

"China's strong preference is to receive formal authorization and coordinate closely with the UN in such an endeavor," it said.

"However, if the international community did not react in a timely manner as the internal order in North Korea deteriorated rapidly, China would seek to take the initiative in restoring stability."

The report was compiled by experts from the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the US Institute of Peace -- which published the report -- and Asia Foundation following their visit to China in June last year.

North Korea, which reportedly has up to 10 nuclear bombs, is currently involved in a de-nuclearization program in return for energy aid and diplomatic and security guarantees under a six-party mechanism involving also the United States, China, Russia, South Korea and Japan.

The program hit a snag recently after Washington accused Pyongyang of not meeting a December 31 deadline for a full declaration of its nuclear programs.

"According to PLA researchers, contingency plans are in place for the PLA to perform three possible missions" in North Korea -- humanitarian and peacekeeping missions and "environmental control" measures, the report said.

The measures are intended "to clean up nuclear contamination resulting from a strike on North Korean nuclear facilities" near the Sino-North Korean border and "to secure nuclear weapons and fissile materials."

The report -- entitled "Keeping An Eye On An Unruly Neighbor: Chinese views of economic reform and stability in North Korea" -- said that in the event of instability in North Korea, China's main priority would be to prevent a flood of refugees.

This would be done by assuring supplies of food and strengthening border controls, it said.

"PLA officers maintain that they would attempt to close the border, but admit a lack of confidence that they could do so successfully, since the border extends 866 miles (1,394 kimometers) and can be easily penetrated," the report said.

US experts took pains to emphasize that nuclear concern was only one part of the US-China dialogue on North Korea issues among the think tank community.

"The range of issues discussed is comprehensive," Korea expert John Park of the US Institute of Peace told AFP. "Discussion of hypothetical scenarios enables various parties to achieve a better understanding of nuanced views."

China's overall concerns about instability in North Korea, including on the nuclear issue, are not new as they share a long border, said China expert Bonnie Glaser of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"Just as the US is concerned about the possibility of instability in terms of nuclear weapons in Pakistan, the Chinese not surprisingly have concerns about control and security of nuclear facilities and nuclear weapons in the event of instability in North Korea," she said.

The US experts also discussed with Chinese specialists trends in North KoreaÂ’s economy and prospects for reform, current trends in Sino-North Korean economic relations and ChinaÂ’s policy toward North Korea in the wake of Pyongyang's October 2006 nuclear weapons test.

"I think the most important thing that has come out of it has really been increased understanding between experts on both sides about how we look at North Korea," Glaser said.
呵呵,不知道。
全E文看起来真累。还得借助翻译软件
看e文头疼,有无高手啊
根據曾與中國軍方研究員討論的美國專家表示,中國對北韓擬定有應變計畫,一旦這個
強硬共黨國家出現動盪,中國會派兵進入北韓並且確保北韓的核武安全。

美國智庫在網站上所發表的報告指出,北京的干預行動會在盡可能與聯合國協商之後展開
,但依然不能排除中國採取片面行動的可能性。報告說,「如果解放軍認為有必要,
將派軍進入北韓」,「但中方仍然強烈希望得到正式授權,並且就此一行動與聯合國進行
密切協調」,「不過,若國際社會無法做出即時反應,而北韓內部情勢又快速惡化時,
中國會尋求採取主動來恢復北韓的穩定」。

這份報告是由「戰略暨國際研究中心」、「美國和平研究所」與「亞洲基金會」的專家
所編撰。這些專家是在去年6月訪問中國。

據傳擁有最多高達10枚核武的北韓,目前正依六方會談的協議成果,展開棄核計畫。
但華府指責北韓未依照協議,在去年年底前公佈所有的核子計畫詳情。

這份報告說,「根據解放軍研究員指出,解放軍的應變計畫有3項可能的任務,包括人道、
維和與環境控制」。這些舉措目的是要「清除靠近中朝邊界的北韓核設施因為遭受攻擊
所出現的核子污染」,同時「確保核子武器與裂變物質」。

這份名為「注意難以約束的鄰國-中國對北韓經濟改革與問定的看法」的報告說,一旦
北韓陷入動盪,中國的優先任務就是透過確保食物的供應與加強邊界管制,來防止難民
的湧入。

報告說,解放軍官員說,他們會試圖封鎖邊界,但他們也承認此舉難以成功,因為中朝
邊界長達1394公里,而且可以輕易滲透。
不知他们在想什么?破坏中朝之间的关系!!!:@
这个,这个,想象力很丰富啊;funk
这很正常啊,有什么好奇怪的?!
那不叫控制,那叫代为保管。;P
建议出动N个城管执法总队。呵呵:D
如果真有个应急方案也很正常!
原帖由 df3lwcn 于 2008-1-8 19:27 发表
不知他们在想什么?破坏中朝之间的关系!!!:@

还用破坏吗?;P ;P ;P
想象一下,在朝核试爆前,中央7台《军事报道》“解放军某部举行演习”画面指挥所墙上大地图,赫然就是朝鲜半岛。

紧邻自家窗户的地方,有人放核武器,自己能不有些“应对计划”以预防意外发生嘛!
我觉得说的很正确啊~~要是没有,那就权当向我们提个醒
没计划才是不正常的
原帖由 Superbow 于 2008-1-9 10:32 发表
想象一下,在朝核试爆前,中央7台《军事报道》“解放军某部举行演习”画面指挥所墙上大地图,赫然就是朝鲜半岛。

紧邻自家窗户的地方,有人放核武器,自己能不有些“应对计划”以预防意外发生嘛!

还有某旅演习时候被老百姓端掉指挥部,这也是指朝鲜百姓
废话,金胖子倒了我们肯定要出兵朝鲜扶植一个仇美政权,一点都不能犹豫
且不说朝鲜就靠着中国,就是朝鲜的核武器在朝鲜本土自爆,对中国都有莫大的麻烦!
有可能......
支持:P :P
中央精明着呢 陆版这个帖子也讨论得热火朝天

不过西方这个时候放出这个消息 意思主要在“挑拨” 而非吸引眼球

这个方案 58年志愿军回国的时候早就有了 只是当时没有考虑核武器的问题

而主要是万一金家王朝垮台了 不至于让美国和南韩把北边吞了陈兵鸭绿江
美国的所谓智库德东西不能全信的。
原帖由 67754250 于 2008-1-9 18:44 发表
废话,金胖子倒了我们肯定要出兵朝鲜扶植一个仇美政权,一点都不能犹豫

你有个错误假定,认为TG是仇美的,其实TG最亲美了.
原帖由 方枪枪36 于 2008-1-8 19:49 发表
这个,这个,想象力很丰富啊;funk

这个不是什么想象力丰富。这个很正常,每个国家都有自己的应急计划。
朝鲜没事也要给他搞点事出来,然后趁机出兵,检验一下99啦11b啦之类的新装备,也考验下54军空降15军的战斗力,就当演习了