超级军网某大国工业生产指数与GDP数据差异巨大，难倒分析人员
来源：百度文库 编辑：超级军网 时间：2024/05/03 13:31:04
Huge gap in IIP, GDP data stumps analysts
工业生产指数与GDP数据差异巨大，难倒分析人员
NEW DELHI: Industrial production contracted for the second consecutive month in December — dragged down by manufacturing and mining — and raised fresh doubts about the contradiction between the factory output number and the gross domestic product (GDP) data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
新德里：工业生产在12月份连续第二个月萎缩 – 被制造业和矿业拖累 – 並对工厂产出数字与中央统计办公室发布的GDP数据之间的矛盾提出了新的疑问。
The GDP data for the current financial year had estimated manufacturing sector growth during October-December at an annual 12.6%, but the latest numbers for the index of industrial production (IIP) point to a mere 0.9% rise in the manufacturing sector during the quarter.
本财经年度GDP数据估计，制造业在10~12月份增长12.6％；而工业指数的最新数字所指却是，该季度制造业增长仅仅为0.9％。
The government, however, maintains that the two sets of contradictory numbers are based on different methods of calculation.
然而，政府坚持说，这两套相互矛盾的数字是基于不同的计算方式。
9d9e0d8fgw1f106o02k47j20iv0fnacm
While IIP is based on the production numbers filed by factories, the new GDP calculation uses the concept of gross value added for which CSO relies on data from stock exchanges, filings with the registrar of companies and also factors in taxes and subsidies. Although surprised at the gap, Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA, pointed out that one of the factors behind the sharp spike in GDP-manufacturing numbers was the lower input costs.
工业指数是基于工厂提交的生产数字；而新的GDP计算法运用了总附加值的概念，对此，中央统计办公室靠的是来自股票交易所的数据、提交给企业监管局的报表、还有税务和补贴方面的因素。尽管对此差异感到吃惊，ICRA（印度独立专职投资信息及评级机构）的资深经济学家纳亚尔还是指出：陡然尖升的GDP数字背后的因素之一，是较低的投入成本。
Also, the IIP data uses 2004-05 as the base, while GDP calculations use 2011-12 as the base period. “The new base is closer to reality. Value added can grow faster than industrial production because of the difference in concepts — one is a volume indicator while the other is value-added — and both can diverge under certain circumstances,” said Crisil chief economist DK Joshi, adding it was time to update the IIP so that it was more in line with the current production trends in the economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index, a survey spread across companies, released on January 1, had indicated that factory output had declined in December.
再有，工业指数数据以2004－2005年作为基准，而GDP算法以2011－2012年作为基准时段。Crisil（印度信贷评级信息服务有限公司）首席经济学家乔西说，“新基数更接近实际情况。’附加值’法能比工业指数法增长更快，是因为这两种概念的差别 – 一种是体量指数，而另一种是附加值 – 而且，在某种情况下，两者都会偏离。” 他还补充说，现在该更新工业指数法了，从而使它更符合经济中的现行生产趋势。发布于1月1日的’购买经理指数’（一项遍及所有公司的调查）显示，12月份工厂产出下降了。
http://www.santaihu.com/2016021504.htmlHuge gap in IIP, GDP data stumps analysts
工业生产指数与GDP数据差异巨大，难倒分析人员
NEW DELHI: Industrial production contracted for the second consecutive month in December — dragged down by manufacturing and mining — and raised fresh doubts about the contradiction between the factory output number and the gross domestic product (GDP) data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
新德里：工业生产在12月份连续第二个月萎缩 – 被制造业和矿业拖累 – 並对工厂产出数字与中央统计办公室发布的GDP数据之间的矛盾提出了新的疑问。
The GDP data for the current financial year had estimated manufacturing sector growth during October-December at an annual 12.6%, but the latest numbers for the index of industrial production (IIP) point to a mere 0.9% rise in the manufacturing sector during the quarter.
本财经年度GDP数据估计，制造业在10~12月份增长12.6％；而工业指数的最新数字所指却是，该季度制造业增长仅仅为0.9％。
The government, however, maintains that the two sets of contradictory numbers are based on different methods of calculation.
然而，政府坚持说，这两套相互矛盾的数字是基于不同的计算方式。
9d9e0d8fgw1f106o02k47j20iv0fnacm
While IIP is based on the production numbers filed by factories, the new GDP calculation uses the concept of gross value added for which CSO relies on data from stock exchanges, filings with the registrar of companies and also factors in taxes and subsidies. Although surprised at the gap, Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA, pointed out that one of the factors behind the sharp spike in GDP-manufacturing numbers was the lower input costs.
工业指数是基于工厂提交的生产数字；而新的GDP计算法运用了总附加值的概念，对此，中央统计办公室靠的是来自股票交易所的数据、提交给企业监管局的报表、还有税务和补贴方面的因素。尽管对此差异感到吃惊，ICRA（印度独立专职投资信息及评级机构）的资深经济学家纳亚尔还是指出：陡然尖升的GDP数字背后的因素之一，是较低的投入成本。
Also, the IIP data uses 2004-05 as the base, while GDP calculations use 2011-12 as the base period. “The new base is closer to reality. Value added can grow faster than industrial production because of the difference in concepts — one is a volume indicator while the other is value-added — and both can diverge under certain circumstances,” said Crisil chief economist DK Joshi, adding it was time to update the IIP so that it was more in line with the current production trends in the economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index, a survey spread across companies, released on January 1, had indicated that factory output had declined in December.
再有，工业指数数据以2004－2005年作为基准，而GDP算法以2011－2012年作为基准时段。Crisil（印度信贷评级信息服务有限公司）首席经济学家乔西说，“新基数更接近实际情况。’附加值’法能比工业指数法增长更快，是因为这两种概念的差别 – 一种是体量指数，而另一种是附加值 – 而且，在某种情况下，两者都会偏离。” 他还补充说，现在该更新工业指数法了，从而使它更符合经济中的现行生产趋势。发布于1月1日的’购买经理指数’（一项遍及所有公司的调查）显示，12月份工厂产出下降了。
http://www.santaihu.com/2016021504.html
工业生产指数与GDP数据差异巨大，难倒分析人员
NEW DELHI: Industrial production contracted for the second consecutive month in December — dragged down by manufacturing and mining — and raised fresh doubts about the contradiction between the factory output number and the gross domestic product (GDP) data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
新德里：工业生产在12月份连续第二个月萎缩 – 被制造业和矿业拖累 – 並对工厂产出数字与中央统计办公室发布的GDP数据之间的矛盾提出了新的疑问。
The GDP data for the current financial year had estimated manufacturing sector growth during October-December at an annual 12.6%, but the latest numbers for the index of industrial production (IIP) point to a mere 0.9% rise in the manufacturing sector during the quarter.
本财经年度GDP数据估计，制造业在10~12月份增长12.6％；而工业指数的最新数字所指却是，该季度制造业增长仅仅为0.9％。
The government, however, maintains that the two sets of contradictory numbers are based on different methods of calculation.
然而，政府坚持说，这两套相互矛盾的数字是基于不同的计算方式。
9d9e0d8fgw1f106o02k47j20iv0fnacm
While IIP is based on the production numbers filed by factories, the new GDP calculation uses the concept of gross value added for which CSO relies on data from stock exchanges, filings with the registrar of companies and also factors in taxes and subsidies. Although surprised at the gap, Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA, pointed out that one of the factors behind the sharp spike in GDP-manufacturing numbers was the lower input costs.
工业指数是基于工厂提交的生产数字；而新的GDP计算法运用了总附加值的概念，对此，中央统计办公室靠的是来自股票交易所的数据、提交给企业监管局的报表、还有税务和补贴方面的因素。尽管对此差异感到吃惊，ICRA（印度独立专职投资信息及评级机构）的资深经济学家纳亚尔还是指出：陡然尖升的GDP数字背后的因素之一，是较低的投入成本。
Also, the IIP data uses 2004-05 as the base, while GDP calculations use 2011-12 as the base period. “The new base is closer to reality. Value added can grow faster than industrial production because of the difference in concepts — one is a volume indicator while the other is value-added — and both can diverge under certain circumstances,” said Crisil chief economist DK Joshi, adding it was time to update the IIP so that it was more in line with the current production trends in the economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index, a survey spread across companies, released on January 1, had indicated that factory output had declined in December.
再有，工业指数数据以2004－2005年作为基准，而GDP算法以2011－2012年作为基准时段。Crisil（印度信贷评级信息服务有限公司）首席经济学家乔西说，“新基数更接近实际情况。’附加值’法能比工业指数法增长更快，是因为这两种概念的差别 – 一种是体量指数，而另一种是附加值 – 而且，在某种情况下，两者都会偏离。” 他还补充说，现在该更新工业指数法了，从而使它更符合经济中的现行生产趋势。发布于1月1日的’购买经理指数’（一项遍及所有公司的调查）显示，12月份工厂产出下降了。
http://www.santaihu.com/2016021504.htmlHuge gap in IIP, GDP data stumps analysts
工业生产指数与GDP数据差异巨大，难倒分析人员
NEW DELHI: Industrial production contracted for the second consecutive month in December — dragged down by manufacturing and mining — and raised fresh doubts about the contradiction between the factory output number and the gross domestic product (GDP) data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO).
新德里：工业生产在12月份连续第二个月萎缩 – 被制造业和矿业拖累 – 並对工厂产出数字与中央统计办公室发布的GDP数据之间的矛盾提出了新的疑问。
The GDP data for the current financial year had estimated manufacturing sector growth during October-December at an annual 12.6%, but the latest numbers for the index of industrial production (IIP) point to a mere 0.9% rise in the manufacturing sector during the quarter.
本财经年度GDP数据估计，制造业在10~12月份增长12.6％；而工业指数的最新数字所指却是，该季度制造业增长仅仅为0.9％。
The government, however, maintains that the two sets of contradictory numbers are based on different methods of calculation.
然而，政府坚持说，这两套相互矛盾的数字是基于不同的计算方式。
9d9e0d8fgw1f106o02k47j20iv0fnacm
While IIP is based on the production numbers filed by factories, the new GDP calculation uses the concept of gross value added for which CSO relies on data from stock exchanges, filings with the registrar of companies and also factors in taxes and subsidies. Although surprised at the gap, Aditi Nayar, senior economist at ICRA, pointed out that one of the factors behind the sharp spike in GDP-manufacturing numbers was the lower input costs.
工业指数是基于工厂提交的生产数字；而新的GDP计算法运用了总附加值的概念，对此，中央统计办公室靠的是来自股票交易所的数据、提交给企业监管局的报表、还有税务和补贴方面的因素。尽管对此差异感到吃惊，ICRA（印度独立专职投资信息及评级机构）的资深经济学家纳亚尔还是指出：陡然尖升的GDP数字背后的因素之一，是较低的投入成本。
Also, the IIP data uses 2004-05 as the base, while GDP calculations use 2011-12 as the base period. “The new base is closer to reality. Value added can grow faster than industrial production because of the difference in concepts — one is a volume indicator while the other is value-added — and both can diverge under certain circumstances,” said Crisil chief economist DK Joshi, adding it was time to update the IIP so that it was more in line with the current production trends in the economy. The Purchasing Managers’ Index, a survey spread across companies, released on January 1, had indicated that factory output had declined in December.
再有，工业指数数据以2004－2005年作为基准，而GDP算法以2011－2012年作为基准时段。Crisil（印度信贷评级信息服务有限公司）首席经济学家乔西说，“新基数更接近实际情况。’附加值’法能比工业指数法增长更快，是因为这两种概念的差别 – 一种是体量指数，而另一种是附加值 – 而且，在某种情况下，两者都会偏离。” 他还补充说，现在该更新工业指数法了，从而使它更符合经济中的现行生产趋势。发布于1月1日的’购买经理指数’（一项遍及所有公司的调查）显示，12月份工厂产出下降了。
http://www.santaihu.com/2016021504.html
怕什麼，有全能的三產。
Here is yet another proof that the GDP figure are being cooked up. The reality is that every where you go in India and talk to anyone they all will tell you that the economy is worst they have seen in decades. How long will BJP keeping showing the dream of ‘Achhe Din Ayenge’ while hiding the reality behind the false GDP figures ?
Great fake report of “Make In India”
Every commentposted here by people with Muslim names are so unpatriotic.
Whatever may be the figure of g.d.p growth rate I find at the end of the day my pocket is shrinking. This is the reality.
One for sure is that these GDP figures are cooked up so that the Modi Government can continue to trumpet about ‘Achhe Din’ while the country is bleeding.
Here is yet another proof that the GDP figure are being cooked up. The reality is that every where you go in India and talk to anyone they all will tell you that the economy is worst they have seen in decades. How long will BJP keeping showing the dream of ‘Achhe Din Ayenge’ while hiding the reality behind the false GDP figures ?
Great fake report of “Make In India”
Every commentposted here by people with Muslim names are so unpatriotic.
Whatever may be the figure of g.d.p growth rate I find at the end of the day my pocket is shrinking. This is the reality.
One for sure is that these GDP figures are cooked up so that the Modi Government can continue to trumpet about ‘Achhe Din’ while the country is bleeding.
这不算啥，因为印度的GDP另加了神油指数的缘故。
这是在叫板统计局？