美国网民打乱战：怎么和中国对着干

Memo to Obama: How to handle China
给奥巴马的备忘录：怎么做掉中国。


             Watch GPS special 'Memo to the President' on CNN this Sunday at 8 p.m.
and 11 p.m. ET
              By Minxin Pei, Special to CNN
        周日晚8点CNN节目看总统先生关于全球定位的特殊备忘录。
        CNN特别节目，裴敏欣报导。
http://globalpublicsquare.blogs. ... ?hpt=hp_bn2#respond
  Editor’s note: Minxin Pei is the Tom and Margot Pritzker '72 professor of
government and director of the Keck Center for International and Strategic
Studies at Claremont McKenna College. The views expressed are his own.
             编者按：裴敏欣是政府机构Tom and Margot Pritzker特聘专家，加州克
莱蒙特·麦肯纳学院凯克国际战略研究中心主任。他的观点是独立表达的。
             Your first administration got off to a shaky start on China, mainly because
you assumed that by showing sufficient respect you could gain Beijing’s
cooperation. But your overtures, shall we say, yielded disappointing results.  The
mid-stream adjustment of your China policy has been a great success, in no small
part thanks to Beijing’s disastrous policy to assert its territorial claims in a way
that alarmed and alienated its neighbors. You have put China decidedly on the
defensive in strategic terms.
            总统刚开始的对中处理办法开始动摇，主要是因为你觉得充分尊重北
京可以获得中国方面的合作，但是你的提议，结果应该说是令人失望的。中
期调整过的对华政策取得巨大的成功，一部分得益于中国强烈的维护领土要
求而导致对领国的疏远，使中国转入明显的战略防御。
            It may be tempting to press for more geopolitical advantage in your second
term. But things are changing in East Asia, and your China policy, a critical anchor
of your grand foreign policy strategy, must be fine-tuned as a result.
             这可能会吸引你在第二个任期内加强地缘政治优势。但东亚的一些问
题已经有了变化，你所描述的宏伟对华外交策略需要微调。
            First, China’s new regime, headed by Xi Jinping, deserves the benefit of the
doubt. His predecessor has failed to reciprocate your friendly gestures, but Mr. Xi,
based on his more pro-reform rhetoric, appears to be a different leader.   
           首先，中国以习总为主的新政权会怀疑自己的应得利益。他的前任没
有回应你的友好姿态，但根据习先生以前的言论来看他似乎是一个支持改革
的领导。        Reaching out to him at this point will not only earn some valuable
goodwill, but can also temporarily put the brakes on the hidden downward spiral
in U.S.-China relations caused by growing mutual suspicions. And your success in
handling China since 2010 is not without cost. A wide range of elites in China –
both in and outside the government, including liberal intellectuals – are now
converging on a dangerous (albeit not wholly unfounded) consensus that
American security policy has the intent of containing China. Changing this view is
not easy, but avoiding a needless strategic conflict with China is in America’s
interest. In the longer term, the United States will best advance its vital national
interests by doing whatever it can to promote a democratic transition in China. So
as long as Mr. Xi seems to be taking China in a more open direction, it does not
hurt to relax the security pressure on China a bit.
            引申他的这些观点可能获得一些有价值东西而且还能暂时缓解因互相
怀疑导致的隐性螺旋下滑的中美关系。自2010年起的对华成功也不是没有
代价的，中国政府内外广泛的精英人士，包括自由知识分子，正在达成一个
危险的共识（尽管这种共识也不是完全没有依据），美国的安全策略是意图
控制中国。这种观点不容易改变，但避免与中国发生不必要的冲突符合美国
利益。从长远来看，美国将竭尽全力去推进中国的民主转型，但是习先生似
乎只是想在不伤害国家安全的前提下让中国进一步开放。
            More from CNN: China won't turn other cheek
             更多消息：中国不再唾面自干
            This brings up the second point: what can be done to build on the success
of your China policy in the last two years.
           这导致第二个问题：在接下来的2年里如何延续对华政策的成功。
            The most immediate task is to use American influence to defuse the
brewing Sino-Japan crisis over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands.  Regardless of the
culpability for this crisis, American interest lies in stability in the region.  China
has already sent a message to Washington urging its intervention. The U.S. can
play a mediating role in calming the situation.
             最紧迫的事情是用美国的影响化解近期的中日钓鱼岛危机（CNN这里
用词中立，两国岛屿说法都写了）。不管这场危机的责任是谁的，东亚稳定
是符合美国利益。中国已经知会华盛顿介入，美国可以在平稳的局势下发挥
调节作用。
            Another important task is to switch the focus on the South China Sea.
While American policy has effectively isolated China, it is important to remember
that the strategic objective is not to embarrass or humiliate China, but to help
resolve a potentially dangerous maritime dispute. So the next step to take is to
push for a diplomatic solution. Of course, China will have to make its own
concessions first. An adjustment in policy here requires exploratory efforts to
seek a way out for the claimants in the dispute that will at least avoid ugly
escalations in the near term.
             另一个任务焦点是中国南海，美国的政策使中国感觉孤立，要记住南
海战略最重要的目标不是羞辱中国让他尴尬，而是帮助解决一个潜在的海事
纠纷。所以下一步的行动是推动外交解决方案。当然，中国需要先做出让步
。调整的政策是需要努力探索出路寻求解决纠纷，至少避免短期内事态升级
。
            Finally, you need to couple your softening stance on the security front with a
hardening of positions on human rights. The root cause of U.S.-China strategic
competition is the persistence of one-party rule in China. Promoting democracy
and human rights serves American long-term interests. The fact is that such a
rebalancing of your policy will both defend American interests and advance its
values.
          最后，你需要在软化安全领域立场更关注人权问题，根源在于中国坚持
一党专政，促进人权民主符合美国的长远利益。调整你的政策将保护美国利
益，宣扬普世价值。
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Memo to Obama: How to handle China
给奥巴马的备忘录：怎么做掉中国。


             Watch GPS special 'Memo to the President' on CNN this Sunday at 8 p.m.
and 11 p.m. ET
              By Minxin Pei, Special to CNN
        周日晚8点CNN节目看总统先生关于全球定位的特殊备忘录。
        CNN特别节目，裴敏欣报导。
http://globalpublicsquare.blogs. ... ?hpt=hp_bn2#respond
  Editor’s note: Minxin Pei is the Tom and Margot Pritzker '72 professor of
government and director of the Keck Center for International and Strategic
Studies at Claremont McKenna College. The views expressed are his own.
             编者按：裴敏欣是政府机构Tom and Margot Pritzker特聘专家，加州克
莱蒙特·麦肯纳学院凯克国际战略研究中心主任。他的观点是独立表达的。
             Your first administration got off to a shaky start on China, mainly because
you assumed that by showing sufficient respect you could gain Beijing’s
cooperation. But your overtures, shall we say, yielded disappointing results.  The
mid-stream adjustment of your China policy has been a great success, in no small
part thanks to Beijing’s disastrous policy to assert its territorial claims in a way
that alarmed and alienated its neighbors. You have put China decidedly on the
defensive in strategic terms.
            总统刚开始的对中处理办法开始动摇，主要是因为你觉得充分尊重北
京可以获得中国方面的合作，但是你的提议，结果应该说是令人失望的。中
期调整过的对华政策取得巨大的成功，一部分得益于中国强烈的维护领土要
求而导致对领国的疏远，使中国转入明显的战略防御。
            It may be tempting to press for more geopolitical advantage in your second
term. But things are changing in East Asia, and your China policy, a critical anchor
of your grand foreign policy strategy, must be fine-tuned as a result.
             这可能会吸引你在第二个任期内加强地缘政治优势。但东亚的一些问
题已经有了变化，你所描述的宏伟对华外交策略需要微调。
            First, China’s new regime, headed by Xi Jinping, deserves the benefit of the
doubt. His predecessor has failed to reciprocate your friendly gestures, but Mr. Xi,
based on his more pro-reform rhetoric, appears to be a different leader.   
           首先，中国以习总为主的新政权会怀疑自己的应得利益。他的前任没
有回应你的友好姿态，但根据习先生以前的言论来看他似乎是一个支持改革
的领导。        Reaching out to him at this point will not only earn some valuable
goodwill, but can also temporarily put the brakes on the hidden downward spiral
in U.S.-China relations caused by growing mutual suspicions. And your success in
handling China since 2010 is not without cost. A wide range of elites in China –
both in and outside the government, including liberal intellectuals – are now
converging on a dangerous (albeit not wholly unfounded) consensus that
American security policy has the intent of containing China. Changing this view is
not easy, but avoiding a needless strategic conflict with China is in America’s
interest. In the longer term, the United States will best advance its vital national
interests by doing whatever it can to promote a democratic transition in China. So
as long as Mr. Xi seems to be taking China in a more open direction, it does not
hurt to relax the security pressure on China a bit.
            引申他的这些观点可能获得一些有价值东西而且还能暂时缓解因互相
怀疑导致的隐性螺旋下滑的中美关系。自2010年起的对华成功也不是没有
代价的，中国政府内外广泛的精英人士，包括自由知识分子，正在达成一个
危险的共识（尽管这种共识也不是完全没有依据），美国的安全策略是意图
控制中国。这种观点不容易改变，但避免与中国发生不必要的冲突符合美国
利益。从长远来看，美国将竭尽全力去推进中国的民主转型，但是习先生似
乎只是想在不伤害国家安全的前提下让中国进一步开放。
            More from CNN: China won't turn other cheek
             更多消息：中国不再唾面自干
            This brings up the second point: what can be done to build on the success
of your China policy in the last two years.
           这导致第二个问题：在接下来的2年里如何延续对华政策的成功。
            The most immediate task is to use American influence to defuse the
brewing Sino-Japan crisis over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands.  Regardless of the
culpability for this crisis, American interest lies in stability in the region.  China
has already sent a message to Washington urging its intervention. The U.S. can
play a mediating role in calming the situation.
             最紧迫的事情是用美国的影响化解近期的中日钓鱼岛危机（CNN这里
用词中立，两国岛屿说法都写了）。不管这场危机的责任是谁的，东亚稳定
是符合美国利益。中国已经知会华盛顿介入，美国可以在平稳的局势下发挥
调节作用。
            Another important task is to switch the focus on the South China Sea.
While American policy has effectively isolated China, it is important to remember
that the strategic objective is not to embarrass or humiliate China, but to help
resolve a potentially dangerous maritime dispute. So the next step to take is to
push for a diplomatic solution. Of course, China will have to make its own
concessions first. An adjustment in policy here requires exploratory efforts to
seek a way out for the claimants in the dispute that will at least avoid ugly
escalations in the near term.
             另一个任务焦点是中国南海，美国的政策使中国感觉孤立，要记住南
海战略最重要的目标不是羞辱中国让他尴尬，而是帮助解决一个潜在的海事
纠纷。所以下一步的行动是推动外交解决方案。当然，中国需要先做出让步
。调整的政策是需要努力探索出路寻求解决纠纷，至少避免短期内事态升级
。
            Finally, you need to couple your softening stance on the security front with a
hardening of positions on human rights. The root cause of U.S.-China strategic
competition is the persistence of one-party rule in China. Promoting democracy
and human rights serves American long-term interests. The fact is that such a
rebalancing of your policy will both defend American interests and advance its
values.
          最后，你需要在软化安全领域立场更关注人权问题，根源在于中国坚持
一党专政，促进人权民主符合美国的长远利益。调整你的政策将保护美国利
益，宣扬普世价值。
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------