前美军伊拉克行动指挥官说,伊拉克最坏的情况已经过去

来源:百度文库 编辑:超级军网 时间:2024/04/29 06:51:36
http://news.yahoo.com/worst-over ... sion-193956086.html
雅虎新闻   
      伊拉克最坏的情况已经过去,曾经在美国领导的伊拉克行动中担任美国海军陆战队和英军的指挥官James Conway将军,在声明中对伊拉克动乱表达了罕见的乐观。
      Conway将军在每年一度的伊朗逃亡者会议作为嘉宾发表演讲,说横扫伊拉克大部分地区叛乱分子不可能有更大的进展了。叛乱分子可能会惊奇于自身所获得的巨大成就,但是它们不敢和库尔德人对抗,不可能拿下巴格达,也不可能获得南部产油区,因为那是什叶派的地盘。Conway将军说库尔德人可能会利用目前状态永久独立,并认为目前支持isis的逊尼派可能会和isis闹翻,“就像闪电婚礼,逊尼派和isis会发生争斗”

Villepinte (France) (AFP) - The worst of the insurgency in Iraq is "over", a former general who commanded US Marines and British forces in the 2003 US-led invasion said Friday, in a rare note of optimism over the crisis.

Speaking on the sidelines of the annual conference of Iran's exiled opposition -- in which he was a guest speaker -- General James Conway said the insurgents who have overrun major parts of Iraq were unlikely to make any further significant gains.

The lightning offensive this month by jihadists from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and other militant groups has killed more than 1,000 people and displaced tens of thousands.

Until now, ISIL has primarily made inroads in Sunni Arab areas in the north of Iraq, supported by Sunni militants that loathe current Shiite Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki.

"The worst is over," Conway said.

"The ISIS (as ISIL is often also called) are probably surprised themselves with their degree of success."
But "they will not mess with the Kurds, they will not be able to take Baghdad and they can't go into the south where the oil fields are because it's all Shiite territory".

The Kurds already have their own autonomous region in the north and have defended key towns outside this area against the militants after federal forces withdrew.

Conway said that the Kurds may take advantage of the current situation and "establish once and for all a separate Kurdistan".

Already, Kurdish fighters have been defending the ethnically divided northern oil city of Kirkuk from militants, and the president of Iraq's autonomous Kurdish region declared Friday that there would be no going back on Kurdish self-rule in this locality.

Conway said he also feared that Sunni militants who have been supporting ISIL so far would start pulling away.

"It's only been a marriage of convenience... There's going to be some fighting between them and the Sunnis."

Meanwhile, Maryam Rajavi, the leader of the National Council of Resistance of Iran -- a coalition of Iranian opposition groups -- called for Maliki, who is close to the Iranian regime, to go.

Washington itself has stopped short of calling for him to step down, but has left little doubt it feels he has squandered the opportunity to rebuild Iraq since American troops withdrew in 2011.
http://news.yahoo.com/worst-over ... sion-193956086.html
雅虎新闻   
      伊拉克最坏的情况已经过去,曾经在美国领导的伊拉克行动中担任美国海军陆战队和英军的指挥官James Conway将军,在声明中对伊拉克动乱表达了罕见的乐观。
      Conway将军在每年一度的伊朗逃亡者会议作为嘉宾发表演讲,说横扫伊拉克大部分地区叛乱分子不可能有更大的进展了。叛乱分子可能会惊奇于自身所获得的巨大成就,但是它们不敢和库尔德人对抗,不可能拿下巴格达,也不可能获得南部产油区,因为那是什叶派的地盘。Conway将军说库尔德人可能会利用目前状态永久独立,并认为目前支持isis的逊尼派可能会和isis闹翻,“就像闪电婚礼,逊尼派和isis会发生争斗”

Villepinte (France) (AFP) - The worst of the insurgency in Iraq is "over", a former general who commanded US Marines and British forces in the 2003 US-led invasion said Friday, in a rare note of optimism over the crisis.

Speaking on the sidelines of the annual conference of Iran's exiled opposition -- in which he was a guest speaker -- General James Conway said the insurgents who have overrun major parts of Iraq were unlikely to make any further significant gains.

The lightning offensive this month by jihadists from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and other militant groups has killed more than 1,000 people and displaced tens of thousands.

Until now, ISIL has primarily made inroads in Sunni Arab areas in the north of Iraq, supported by Sunni militants that loathe current Shiite Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki.

"The worst is over," Conway said.

"The ISIS (as ISIL is often also called) are probably surprised themselves with their degree of success."
But "they will not mess with the Kurds, they will not be able to take Baghdad and they can't go into the south where the oil fields are because it's all Shiite territory".

The Kurds already have their own autonomous region in the north and have defended key towns outside this area against the militants after federal forces withdrew.

Conway said that the Kurds may take advantage of the current situation and "establish once and for all a separate Kurdistan".

Already, Kurdish fighters have been defending the ethnically divided northern oil city of Kirkuk from militants, and the president of Iraq's autonomous Kurdish region declared Friday that there would be no going back on Kurdish self-rule in this locality.

Conway said he also feared that Sunni militants who have been supporting ISIL so far would start pulling away.

"It's only been a marriage of convenience... There's going to be some fighting between them and the Sunnis."

Meanwhile, Maryam Rajavi, the leader of the National Council of Resistance of Iran -- a coalition of Iranian opposition groups -- called for Maliki, who is close to the Iranian regime, to go.

Washington itself has stopped short of calling for him to step down, but has left little doubt it feels he has squandered the opportunity to rebuild Iraq since American troops withdrew in 2011.
这老兄说的在理!毕竟刚开始ISIS只是想过来打打秋风,没想到现在的伊拉克政府这么肉鸡,所以占的地盘多了但是却什么实力巩固!如果一开始先在伊拉克起事而不是在叙利亚说不定现在已经成功了!
他所说和认为的就是ISIL要和他的同盟翻脸内斗。
其次目前已知的消息是ISIL大量重武装已经移动到了约旦和沙特边境线上。
ISIL认为约旦王室是比伊拉克更好的对象。
现在是斋月

波斯大胡子那几个营算算时间应该就位了,库尔德人也反应过来了。

类似‘北大营夜袭战’的余波渐趋平静,剩下就是扯皮拉锯,噢斑马政府、腐败王爷、隔壁砸的稀烂的邻居,虎视眈眈的波斯大胡子    等等 等等势力

精彩的还在后面,刚刚过去的只能算一波小高潮
ISIL目前极有可能要准备从叙利亚,伊拉克,约旦,沙特的身上各自撕下一片领土控制区。
而这些区域正好都是各国政府难以有效管理和控制的区域。
ISIL就准备依靠这些各国边境地带逐步做大,然后谋求统一阿拉伯地区。
三分伊拉克正是这位美军指挥官说的结果,真相了。
段干木 发表于 2014-6-28 17:24
ISIL目前极有可能要准备从叙利亚,伊拉克,约旦,沙特的身上各自撕下一片领土控制区。
而这些区域正好都是 ...
基本盘都没稳固,就树敌这么多不是找死吗

小死鱼 发表于 2014-6-28 18:34
基本盘都没稳固,就树敌这么多不是找死吗


没办法那帮极端分子跟你回复的那个人一样笨
小死鱼 发表于 2014-6-28 18:34
基本盘都没稳固,就树敌这么多不是找死吗


没办法那帮极端分子跟你回复的那个人一样笨
ISIL目前极有可能要准备从叙利亚,伊拉克,约旦,沙特的身上各自撕下一片领土控制区。
而这些区域正好都是 ...
真这样,那就太喜闻乐见了。
难道在暗示“没有最坏,只有更坏!”?
    同意这个分析。