美国房地产市场显出企稳迹象

来源:百度文库 编辑:超级军网 时间:2024/03/29 23:56:19
Home sales see biggest gain since July 2003
Fri Oct 24, 2008 1:09pm EDT

By Patrick Rucker

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose 5.5 percent last month, the biggest gain since July 2003, and the inventory of unsold homes fell, a hopeful sign for a housing market mired in a long slump.

The National Association of Realtors said on Friday that sales of existing homes rose to a 5.18 million-unit annual rate from the 4.91 million unit pace set in August. Economists had expected sales to rise to only a 4.93 million unit rate.

It was the first time the sales pace had risen above its year ago level in nearly three years, a sign the market could be stabilizing.


The surprisingly large jump in sales pushed the inventory of unsold homes down by 1.6 percent to 4.27 million, or a 9.9 months' supply at the current pace, the lowest since February.

"We're not out of the woods yet by any means when it comes to falling house prices and our fundamental problem of an oversupply of homes, but we're getting near to the bottom every day," said White House spokeswoman Dana Perino.

Home prices, however, showed no signs of escaping their long, deep slide and economists said the number of homes on the market would likely have to fall further before they do.

The median national home price declined 9 percent from a year ago to $191,600, the lowest level since April 2004.

"As the median price continues to decline, seeking out that new equilibrium level, demand is -- slowly and hesitantly -- moving back into the market," said Lindsey Piegza, an economic analyst at FTN Financial in New York.

A Reuters poll taken October 21-24 found economists expect prices to continue to fall through next year. The median forecast from the survey was for a 15 percent drop this year and a 6.4 percent fall in 2009. Economists expect prices to turn up in 2010, but by a meager 1 percent.

'VULTURE INVESTORS'

Rising U.S. mortgage defaults have sent credit markets into a tailspin, threatening economies worldwide. A majority of economists polled said finding a floor for house prices is an essential condition for ending the financial crisis.

In order for prices to recover, the glut of unsold homes needs to be whittled down further, analysts said.

"Most, if not all, the rise in sales is due to vulture investors buying cheap foreclosed homes, but all sales reduce inventory," said Ian Shepherdson, the chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.

"If this continues, people will stop expecting further price falls and activity will start to recover."

Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the Realtors' trade group, also pointed to a rise in foreclosure and other 'distress' sales in regions hard-hit by the housing downturn.

"In some regions, the lower prices are seeing buyers return to the marketplace," he said. "This was a nice jump and hopefully this trend can continue because the first step to stabilizing the market is an increase in home sales."

Sales jumped 16.8 percent in the West, while rising 4.4 percent in the Midwest and 2.2 percent in the South. In the Northeast, sales fell 1.2 percent.

Sales of single-family homes, which represent the lion's share of the market, rose 6.2 percent. Sales of condominiums held steady.

"We're still struggling with falling home prices and we will for a while, but we're forming a bottom here," said Bob Walters, chief economist at Quicken Loans in Livonia, Michigan.

(Additional reporting by Pedro Nicolaci da DaCosta, Ellen Freilich and Nick Olivari in New York; Polling by Bangalore polling unit; Editing by Andrea Ricci)Home sales see biggest gain since July 2003
Fri Oct 24, 2008 1:09pm EDT

By Patrick Rucker

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose 5.5 percent last month, the biggest gain since July 2003, and the inventory of unsold homes fell, a hopeful sign for a housing market mired in a long slump.

The National Association of Realtors said on Friday that sales of existing homes rose to a 5.18 million-unit annual rate from the 4.91 million unit pace set in August. Economists had expected sales to rise to only a 4.93 million unit rate.

It was the first time the sales pace had risen above its year ago level in nearly three years, a sign the market could be stabilizing.


The surprisingly large jump in sales pushed the inventory of unsold homes down by 1.6 percent to 4.27 million, or a 9.9 months' supply at the current pace, the lowest since February.

"We're not out of the woods yet by any means when it comes to falling house prices and our fundamental problem of an oversupply of homes, but we're getting near to the bottom every day," said White House spokeswoman Dana Perino.

Home prices, however, showed no signs of escaping their long, deep slide and economists said the number of homes on the market would likely have to fall further before they do.

The median national home price declined 9 percent from a year ago to $191,600, the lowest level since April 2004.

"As the median price continues to decline, seeking out that new equilibrium level, demand is -- slowly and hesitantly -- moving back into the market," said Lindsey Piegza, an economic analyst at FTN Financial in New York.

A Reuters poll taken October 21-24 found economists expect prices to continue to fall through next year. The median forecast from the survey was for a 15 percent drop this year and a 6.4 percent fall in 2009. Economists expect prices to turn up in 2010, but by a meager 1 percent.

'VULTURE INVESTORS'

Rising U.S. mortgage defaults have sent credit markets into a tailspin, threatening economies worldwide. A majority of economists polled said finding a floor for house prices is an essential condition for ending the financial crisis.

In order for prices to recover, the glut of unsold homes needs to be whittled down further, analysts said.

"Most, if not all, the rise in sales is due to vulture investors buying cheap foreclosed homes, but all sales reduce inventory," said Ian Shepherdson, the chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics in Valhalla, New York.

"If this continues, people will stop expecting further price falls and activity will start to recover."

Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the Realtors' trade group, also pointed to a rise in foreclosure and other 'distress' sales in regions hard-hit by the housing downturn.

"In some regions, the lower prices are seeing buyers return to the marketplace," he said. "This was a nice jump and hopefully this trend can continue because the first step to stabilizing the market is an increase in home sales."

Sales jumped 16.8 percent in the West, while rising 4.4 percent in the Midwest and 2.2 percent in the South. In the Northeast, sales fell 1.2 percent.

Sales of single-family homes, which represent the lion's share of the market, rose 6.2 percent. Sales of condominiums held steady.

"We're still struggling with falling home prices and we will for a while, but we're forming a bottom here," said Bob Walters, chief economist at Quicken Loans in Livonia, Michigan.

(Additional reporting by Pedro Nicolaci da DaCosta, Ellen Freilich and Nick Olivari in New York; Polling by Bangalore polling unit; Editing by Andrea Ricci)
没有这么简单
站不站得稳还两看,如能站稳了,美国人就缓了一口气。
不可能这么快站稳
原帖由 apirlshide 于 2008-10-26 01:37 发表
不可能这么快站稳

快?跌了多久了[:a9:]
Sales of new homes up 2.7%
September sales of new construction were up from August, but still a third lower than September, 2007 levels.
By Les Christie, CNNMoney.com staff writer
October 27, 2008: 10:24 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Sales of newly constructed homes rose in September, according to the monthly report from the U.S. Census Bureau, inching up 2.7% from August to an annualized rate of 464,000.

The reading was above the consensus forecast of 450,000, according to economists surveyed by Briefing.com.

But new home sales are still down 33.1% from September of 2007, and far below the pace of the boom years. In 2005, for example, 1.3 million new homes were sold.

In response to slower sales, home builders have been reducing their production. As a result inventory has fallen, but there were still about 394,000 new single family residences on the market at the end of September. At the current pace of sales that would take 10.4 months to sell through.

The median selling price for a new home was $218,400 during the month, down from $221,900 in August, while the mean selling price was $275,500, up from $263,900.
美国也有金九银十么?
不会这么简单!
从来没有楼价跌只跌一年的。惯性很大的。而且暂时也没见到什么能够支持止跌的购买力