埃塔为何宣布永久停火?

<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.05pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">【香港星岛环球网</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">24</font></span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">日消息】</span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">西班牙分裂组织埃塔日前发表声明，宣布从</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">24</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">日开始实行永久性停</span><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><font face="Times New Roman"> <stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path gradientshapeok="t"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></font></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_s1026" oallowoverlap="f" type="#_x0000_t75" style="MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; LEFT: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 151.7pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 112.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-position-horizontal: left; mso-position-horizontal-relative: text; mso-position-vertical: top; mso-position-vertical-relative: line;"><imagedata otitle="image037" src="file:///C:/DOCUME~1/ADMINI~1/LOCALS~1/Temp/msoclip1/08/clip_image001.jpg"></imagedata><wrap type="square"></wrap></shape><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">火，放弃与当局的武装对抗。分析家指出，该组织策动的暴力活动已渐渐为西班牙民众所厌恶。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">分析指出，“埃塔”宣布全面停火是众多因素纠结下的选择。其一，公众普通厌恶恐怖事件和暴力活动，埃塔已经彻底失去民心。在全国上下的强大压力下，自</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">2003</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">年开始，埃塔恐怖活动已显著减少。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">第二，埃塔的经济源头已被切断。埃塔一直以绑架、抢劫银行以及向商人勒索等手段攫取钱财。但近年来，由于西班牙警方强化治安措施，埃塔财源日益枯竭。与此同时，埃塔与其他国际暴力团伙的联系也越来越困难。在一度曾帮助埃塔的爱尔兰共和军宣布完全解除武装后，埃塔在欧洲大陆已完全处于孤立无援的状态。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">第三，法国和西班牙两国警方近年来加强对埃塔的打击。西班牙和法国警方加大合作力度，对埃塔组织进行有效打击。埃塔设在法国境内的窝点不断被捣毁。专家称，西法两国联合打击埃塔行动连连告捷，使埃塔陷入走投无路的境地。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.05pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">【香港星岛环球网</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">24</font></span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">日消息】</span></b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">西班牙分裂组织埃塔日前发表声明，宣布从</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">24</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">日开始实行永久性停</span><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><font face="Times New Roman"> <stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path gradientshapeok="t"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></font></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_s1026" oallowoverlap="f" type="#_x0000_t75" style="MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; LEFT: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 151.7pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 112.5pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-position-horizontal: left; mso-position-horizontal-relative: text; mso-position-vertical: top; mso-position-vertical-relative: line;"><imagedata otitle="image037" src="file:///C:/DOCUME~1/ADMINI~1/LOCALS~1/Temp/msoclip1/08/clip_image001.jpg"></imagedata><wrap type="square"></wrap></shape><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">火，放弃与当局的武装对抗。分析家指出，该组织策动的暴力活动已渐渐为西班牙民众所厌恶。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">分析指出，“埃塔”宣布全面停火是众多因素纠结下的选择。其一，公众普通厌恶恐怖事件和暴力活动，埃塔已经彻底失去民心。在全国上下的强大压力下，自</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><font face="Times New Roman">2003</font></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">年开始，埃塔恐怖活动已显著减少。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">第二，埃塔的经济源头已被切断。埃塔一直以绑架、抢劫银行以及向商人勒索等手段攫取钱财。但近年来，由于西班牙警方强化治安措施，埃塔财源日益枯竭。与此同时，埃塔与其他国际暴力团伙的联系也越来越困难。在一度曾帮助埃塔的爱尔兰共和军宣布完全解除武装后，埃塔在欧洲大陆已完全处于孤立无援的状态。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 26pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 19pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0; mso-char-indent-size: 13.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">第三，法国和西班牙两国警方近年来加强对埃塔的打击。西班牙和法国警方加大合作力度，对埃塔组织进行有效打击。埃塔设在法国境内的窝点不断被捣毁。专家称，西法两国联合打击埃塔行动连连告捷，使埃塔陷入走投无路的境地。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LETTER-SPACING: 0.5pt;"><p></p></span></p>