坛内当前有股风气，认为人类核战争时代已然过去前途一片 ...

不谋万事者不足以谋一世,不谋全局者不足以谋一域  为什么坛子内现在一有人提到
在某种情况下，某核国对另一国（不管有无核）发动打击（无论是先动还是被动） 造成数千万乃至数亿人伤亡这种情况时
都会嗤之以鼻，嘲笑是战争狂人呢？或是这种情况未来绝不会出现呢？
《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《
人类文明真的已经进化到足够先进、足够不贪婪、足够不记恨从而避免核时代互相毁灭末日的到来？
《大筛选》描述的星外文明的某种自我毁灭情况真不能适用于未来的人类？人类文明已经安然度过互相毁灭这层筛子了？
联合国五核弹常任理事国彼此真的可以互相制衡到不会出于国家利益、文明利益而发动核战争？
对于日本印度伊朗的国际核武器监督真的有效与全面？
会否出现因监管不利或是出于自己国家的自私利益而对某些国家放任绥靖导致某国突然进击至核武大国、挑战国际核武器不扩散准则？


参与研制世界第一枚原子弹的美国科学家１９４５年创办《原子科学家公报》，主旨是反对使用核武器。１９４７年，这家刊物设置“末日之钟”，警示人类面临的核武器等重大威胁，表盘仅在左上方１５分钟标有刻度，零时代表世界末日，指针越靠近零时，代表人类文明面临毁灭的危险越大。

历年修整

Timeline of the Doomsday Clock
末日之中时间线
Year        Minutes left        Time
年     剩余时间         表针        拨针+/-
1998        9               23:51        +5        Both India (Pokhran-II) and Pakistan (Chagai-I) test nuclear weapons in a tit-for-tat show of aggression; the United States and Russia run into difficulties in further reducing stockpiles.
+5印巴核武实验

2002        7               23:53        +2        Little progress on global nuclear disarmament; United States rejects a series of arms control treaties and announces its intentions to withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty; concerns about the possibility of a nuclear terrorist attack due to the amount of weapon-grade nuclear materials that are unsecured and unaccounted for worldwide.
+2全球核裁剪无进展美国拒绝一些列的武器控制计划并宣布说意图退出反导防御系统的磋商

2007        5               23:55        +2        North Korea's test of a nuclear weapon,[16] Iran's nuclear ambitions, a renewed American emphasis on the military utility of nuclear weapons, the failure to adequately secure nuclear materials, and the continued presence of some 26,000 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia.[17] Some scientists, assessing the dangers posed to civilization, have added climate change to the prospect of nuclear annihilation as the greatest threats to humankind
+2朝鲜核试伊朗野心美国疏于对核武器材料安全的监管美俄依旧持久26000核武

2010        6               23:54        -1        Worldwide cooperation to reduce nuclear arsenals and limit effect of climate change.[19] New START agreement is ratified by both the United States and Russia and more negotiations for further reductions in the American and Russian nuclear arsenal are already planned. 2009 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, Denmark results in the developing and industrialized countries agreeing to take responsibility for carbon emissions and to limit global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius.
-1全世界核武裁减合作及气候变化的努力美俄通过削减核武的意向协议

2012        5        23:55        +1        Lack of global political action to address nuclear weapons stockpiles, the potential for regional nuclear conflict, nuclear power safety, and global climate change.[20]
+1因缺乏全球政治行动以落实核武裁减，区域核冲突可能性增加，地球气候改变

2014        5        23:55        0        Stalled negotiations to reduce nuclear arsenals in the United States and Russia, expansion and modernization of the nuclear stockpiles in China, Pakistan and India, not properly secured nuclear materials worldwide, continuing construction of nuclear power plants without bulletproof safety features, lack of political will in the world to address the issues related to climate change.
0 美俄削减核武谈判停滞，中印巴现代化及扩张化核武囤积，全球范围内核材料监管不力，无铁般安全证据持续建设核电站。气候谈判无政治意愿


上边取自维基，
再加上一条新近的新闻就足够让时针再往后拨2分钟了：

2014年7月1日,日本政府在临时内阁会议上,正式决定修改宪法解释以解禁集体自卫权

没错，我们离核末日还3分钟







不谋万事者不足以谋一世,不谋全局者不足以谋一域  为什么坛子内现在一有人提到
在某种情况下，某核国对另一国（不管有无核）发动打击（无论是先动还是被动） 造成数千万乃至数亿人伤亡这种情况时
都会嗤之以鼻，嘲笑是战争狂人呢？或是这种情况未来绝不会出现呢？
《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《《
人类文明真的已经进化到足够先进、足够不贪婪、足够不记恨从而避免核时代互相毁灭末日的到来？
《大筛选》描述的星外文明的某种自我毁灭情况真不能适用于未来的人类？人类文明已经安然度过互相毁灭这层筛子了？
联合国五核弹常任理事国彼此真的可以互相制衡到不会出于国家利益、文明利益而发动核战争？
对于日本印度伊朗的国际核武器监督真的有效与全面？
会否出现因监管不利或是出于自己国家的自私利益而对某些国家放任绥靖导致某国突然进击至核武大国、挑战国际核武器不扩散准则？


参与研制世界第一枚原子弹的美国科学家１９４５年创办《原子科学家公报》，主旨是反对使用核武器。１９４７年，这家刊物设置“末日之钟”，警示人类面临的核武器等重大威胁，表盘仅在左上方１５分钟标有刻度，零时代表世界末日，指针越靠近零时，代表人类文明面临毁灭的危险越大。

历年修整

Timeline of the Doomsday Clock
末日之中时间线
Year        Minutes left        Time
年     剩余时间         表针        拨针+/-
1998        9               23:51        +5        Both India (Pokhran-II) and Pakistan (Chagai-I) test nuclear weapons in a tit-for-tat show of aggression; the United States and Russia run into difficulties in further reducing stockpiles.
+5印巴核武实验

2002        7               23:53        +2        Little progress on global nuclear disarmament; United States rejects a series of arms control treaties and announces its intentions to withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty; concerns about the possibility of a nuclear terrorist attack due to the amount of weapon-grade nuclear materials that are unsecured and unaccounted for worldwide.
+2全球核裁剪无进展美国拒绝一些列的武器控制计划并宣布说意图退出反导防御系统的磋商

2007        5               23:55        +2        North Korea's test of a nuclear weapon,[16] Iran's nuclear ambitions, a renewed American emphasis on the military utility of nuclear weapons, the failure to adequately secure nuclear materials, and the continued presence of some 26,000 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia.[17] Some scientists, assessing the dangers posed to civilization, have added climate change to the prospect of nuclear annihilation as the greatest threats to humankind
+2朝鲜核试伊朗野心美国疏于对核武器材料安全的监管美俄依旧持久26000核武

2010        6               23:54        -1        Worldwide cooperation to reduce nuclear arsenals and limit effect of climate change.[19] New START agreement is ratified by both the United States and Russia and more negotiations for further reductions in the American and Russian nuclear arsenal are already planned. 2009 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, Denmark results in the developing and industrialized countries agreeing to take responsibility for carbon emissions and to limit global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius.
-1全世界核武裁减合作及气候变化的努力美俄通过削减核武的意向协议

2012        5        23:55        +1        Lack of global political action to address nuclear weapons stockpiles, the potential for regional nuclear conflict, nuclear power safety, and global climate change.[20]
+1因缺乏全球政治行动以落实核武裁减，区域核冲突可能性增加，地球气候改变

2014        5        23:55        0        Stalled negotiations to reduce nuclear arsenals in the United States and Russia, expansion and modernization of the nuclear stockpiles in China, Pakistan and India, not properly secured nuclear materials worldwide, continuing construction of nuclear power plants without bulletproof safety features, lack of political will in the world to address the issues related to climate change.
0 美俄削减核武谈判停滞，中印巴现代化及扩张化核武囤积，全球范围内核材料监管不力，无铁般安全证据持续建设核电站。气候谈判无政治意愿


上边取自维基，
再加上一条新近的新闻就足够让时针再往后拨2分钟了：

2014年7月1日,日本政府在临时内阁会议上,正式决定修改宪法解释以解禁集体自卫权

没错，我们离核末日还3分钟