超级军网和平之旅／紐約時報：連宋登陸孤立扁 胡策略看似奏效
来源：百度文库 编辑：超级军网 时间：2024/04/25 14:08:16
東森新聞報 記者何瑞珠／編譯
針對台灣國民黨主席連戰和親民黨主席宋楚瑜相繼訪問中國，美國紐約時報認為，北京藉此孤立台灣總統陳水扁，而且看來這招似乎也奏效了。
報導說，北京拒絕邀請陳水扁訪問大陸，也不與他對話，除非陳水扁接受一中原則﹔但是北京向台灣反對黨高唱大和解，讓陳水扁政府不得不把舞台讓給那些對兩岸關係抱持軟調立場的政治人物。
報導指出，胡錦濤2004年上台後，就一直尋求制止台灣邁向獨立的趨勢。
先是在今年3月通過反分裂法授權在台灣意圖獨立時動武，接著邀請台灣在野黨領袖訪問，「顯然意在展現中國將動武視為最後手段，歡迎尋求和解的政治人物進行接觸。」
紐約時報認為，這種孤立策略在中國發動反日運動時昭然若揭。
胡錦濤以這種大動作和親自操盤的外交手法，宣示中國民族利益，也與他過去給人的謹慎保守作風大為不同。
台灣陸委會主委吳釗燮接受紐約時報電話訪問時說，「這些訪問的確為台灣政局增加一些混亂。
這正是中國分化台灣的伎倆之一。」
吳釗燮在25日提醒訪中的政黨領導人，未經政府授權及主管機關許可下，不得與中共對涉及公權力議題行協商，任何政黨依法都不可以和中共簽署任何形式的協議，也不適宜和對方達成口頭承諾。
他說，「如果連戰向中國領導人說明台灣現狀的一些事實，那麼我們就有可能將一場潛在的危機轉化為正面性的。」
紐約時報認為，可以預期的是，中國會再連戰訪問期間給予一些好處，但是對台方式不會有重大轉變，胡錦濤一方面利用經濟利誘，一方面以軍事威脅台灣不要越線。
報導引述中國社科院台灣問題研究員說法，這種策略已經奏效，因為台灣政黨正在彼此競相改善與中國的關係，這讓陳水扁承受了壓力。東森新聞報 記者何瑞珠／編譯
針對台灣國民黨主席連戰和親民黨主席宋楚瑜相繼訪問中國，美國紐約時報認為，北京藉此孤立台灣總統陳水扁，而且看來這招似乎也奏效了。
報導說，北京拒絕邀請陳水扁訪問大陸，也不與他對話，除非陳水扁接受一中原則﹔但是北京向台灣反對黨高唱大和解，讓陳水扁政府不得不把舞台讓給那些對兩岸關係抱持軟調立場的政治人物。
報導指出，胡錦濤2004年上台後，就一直尋求制止台灣邁向獨立的趨勢。
先是在今年3月通過反分裂法授權在台灣意圖獨立時動武，接著邀請台灣在野黨領袖訪問，「顯然意在展現中國將動武視為最後手段，歡迎尋求和解的政治人物進行接觸。」
紐約時報認為，這種孤立策略在中國發動反日運動時昭然若揭。
胡錦濤以這種大動作和親自操盤的外交手法，宣示中國民族利益，也與他過去給人的謹慎保守作風大為不同。
台灣陸委會主委吳釗燮接受紐約時報電話訪問時說，「這些訪問的確為台灣政局增加一些混亂。
這正是中國分化台灣的伎倆之一。」
吳釗燮在25日提醒訪中的政黨領導人，未經政府授權及主管機關許可下，不得與中共對涉及公權力議題行協商，任何政黨依法都不可以和中共簽署任何形式的協議，也不適宜和對方達成口頭承諾。
他說，「如果連戰向中國領導人說明台灣現狀的一些事實，那麼我們就有可能將一場潛在的危機轉化為正面性的。」
紐約時報認為，可以預期的是，中國會再連戰訪問期間給予一些好處，但是對台方式不會有重大轉變，胡錦濤一方面利用經濟利誘，一方面以軍事威脅台灣不要越線。
報導引述中國社科院台灣問題研究員說法，這種策略已經奏效，因為台灣政黨正在彼此競相改善與中國的關係，這讓陳水扁承受了壓力。
針對台灣國民黨主席連戰和親民黨主席宋楚瑜相繼訪問中國，美國紐約時報認為，北京藉此孤立台灣總統陳水扁，而且看來這招似乎也奏效了。
報導說，北京拒絕邀請陳水扁訪問大陸，也不與他對話，除非陳水扁接受一中原則﹔但是北京向台灣反對黨高唱大和解，讓陳水扁政府不得不把舞台讓給那些對兩岸關係抱持軟調立場的政治人物。
報導指出，胡錦濤2004年上台後，就一直尋求制止台灣邁向獨立的趨勢。
先是在今年3月通過反分裂法授權在台灣意圖獨立時動武，接著邀請台灣在野黨領袖訪問，「顯然意在展現中國將動武視為最後手段，歡迎尋求和解的政治人物進行接觸。」
紐約時報認為，這種孤立策略在中國發動反日運動時昭然若揭。
胡錦濤以這種大動作和親自操盤的外交手法，宣示中國民族利益，也與他過去給人的謹慎保守作風大為不同。
台灣陸委會主委吳釗燮接受紐約時報電話訪問時說，「這些訪問的確為台灣政局增加一些混亂。
這正是中國分化台灣的伎倆之一。」
吳釗燮在25日提醒訪中的政黨領導人，未經政府授權及主管機關許可下，不得與中共對涉及公權力議題行協商，任何政黨依法都不可以和中共簽署任何形式的協議，也不適宜和對方達成口頭承諾。
他說，「如果連戰向中國領導人說明台灣現狀的一些事實，那麼我們就有可能將一場潛在的危機轉化為正面性的。」
紐約時報認為，可以預期的是，中國會再連戰訪問期間給予一些好處，但是對台方式不會有重大轉變，胡錦濤一方面利用經濟利誘，一方面以軍事威脅台灣不要越線。
報導引述中國社科院台灣問題研究員說法，這種策略已經奏效，因為台灣政黨正在彼此競相改善與中國的關係，這讓陳水扁承受了壓力。東森新聞報 記者何瑞珠／編譯
針對台灣國民黨主席連戰和親民黨主席宋楚瑜相繼訪問中國，美國紐約時報認為，北京藉此孤立台灣總統陳水扁，而且看來這招似乎也奏效了。
報導說，北京拒絕邀請陳水扁訪問大陸，也不與他對話，除非陳水扁接受一中原則﹔但是北京向台灣反對黨高唱大和解，讓陳水扁政府不得不把舞台讓給那些對兩岸關係抱持軟調立場的政治人物。
報導指出，胡錦濤2004年上台後，就一直尋求制止台灣邁向獨立的趨勢。
先是在今年3月通過反分裂法授權在台灣意圖獨立時動武，接著邀請台灣在野黨領袖訪問，「顯然意在展現中國將動武視為最後手段，歡迎尋求和解的政治人物進行接觸。」
紐約時報認為，這種孤立策略在中國發動反日運動時昭然若揭。
胡錦濤以這種大動作和親自操盤的外交手法，宣示中國民族利益，也與他過去給人的謹慎保守作風大為不同。
台灣陸委會主委吳釗燮接受紐約時報電話訪問時說，「這些訪問的確為台灣政局增加一些混亂。
這正是中國分化台灣的伎倆之一。」
吳釗燮在25日提醒訪中的政黨領導人，未經政府授權及主管機關許可下，不得與中共對涉及公權力議題行協商，任何政黨依法都不可以和中共簽署任何形式的協議，也不適宜和對方達成口頭承諾。
他說，「如果連戰向中國領導人說明台灣現狀的一些事實，那麼我們就有可能將一場潛在的危機轉化為正面性的。」
紐約時報認為，可以預期的是，中國會再連戰訪問期間給予一些好處，但是對台方式不會有重大轉變，胡錦濤一方面利用經濟利誘，一方面以軍事威脅台灣不要越線。
報導引述中國社科院台灣問題研究員說法，這種策略已經奏效，因為台灣政黨正在彼此競相改善與中國的關係，這讓陳水扁承受了壓力。
纽约时报的分析文章，但可能不适合放在置顶的介绍类帖子。
China Tries to Isolate Taiwan's President
By JOSEPH KAHN
Published: April 26, 2005
BEIJING, April 25 - Taiwan's two main opposition leaders will make consecutive visits to mainland China over the next two weeks as Beijing steps up a campaign to isolate the island's independence movement.
Both opposition figures, Lien Chan, chairman of the Nationalist Party, and James Soong, who heads the pro-unification People First Party, are expected to meet Hu Jintao, China's Communist Party chief, and conduct the highest-level dialogue between the rivals since the Communist Party took power in 1949.
Beijing has not invited Taiwan's president, Chen Shui-bian, to visit the mainland and has ruled out talks with him unless he accepts the "one China" formula under which Beijing claims sovereignty over Taiwan, a condition Mr. Chen has rejected.
But China's overture to the opposition groups put Mr. Chen's government on the defensive, forcing it to cede ground to politicians who tend to take a softer line on relations with the government in Beijing, Taiwanese officials and Chinese analysts said.
Mr. Hu, who consolidated his power as China's top leader late last year, has pursued a strategy to halt what the mainland sees as the steady drift toward formal independence by Taiwan, which is separated from the mainland by the 100-mile-wide Taiwan Strait and is regarded by China as a renegade province.
In early March, the Communist Party-controlled legislature passed a measure authorizing the use of force if Taiwan moves too far toward independence, which the United States, Taiwan's main ally, criticized as a provocation.
Mr. Hu's subsequent invitations to Taiwanese opposition leaders appear designed to show that China will use force only as a last resort and that it welcomes politicians who want to mend fences.
The Taiwan strategy has unfolded as China has waged a populist campaign against Japan, which it accuses of whitewashing abuses it committed during World War II.
In both cases, Mr. Hu has combined assertions of China's national interests with flashy gestures and hands-on diplomacy that run counter to his reputation as a cautious party apparatchik, analysts said.
Mr. Lien's trip, which begins on Tuesday, follows a lower profile but groundbreaking visit by his deputy three weeks ago. Mr. Chen condemned that trip as an unauthorized attempt to negotiate with Taiwan's archrival. Mr. Soong has a separate trip scheduled to begin May 5.
"It is true that these trips are creating some turmoil in Taiwan politics," Joseph Wu, who heads Taiwan's official Mainland Affairs Council, said in a telephone interview. "They are part of China's tactic of creating divisions in Taiwan that it can exploit."
Mr. Wu said the government has warned Mr. Lien and Mr. Soong not to "sign agreements" that infringe on Taiwan's rights, which he said would break the law. Mr. Chen and Mr. Lien discussed the opposition leader's trip on Monday to avoid such problems, he said.
"If Lien Chan explains some facts to China's leaders about the reality in Taiwan, then we could turn a potential crisis into a positive good," said Mr. Wu, who oversees Taiwan's mainland relations.
Independence-leaning Taiwanese politicians have called Mr. Lien and Mr. Soong traitors for "selling out Taiwan." But the two appear to have calculated that the mood has shifted in favor of warmer cross-strait ties and that they could get credit for helping to lower tensions.
Chinese officials have not commented publicly on the visits. But Jia Qinglin, a member of the Politburo Standing Committee, promised deeper engagement with Taiwan in a recent address.
"As long as it benefits the Taiwanese compatriots, as long as it helps enhance cross-strait exchange, as long as it advances the peaceful reunification of the motherland, we will all try our very best to do it," he said.
Mr. Lien's trip is deeply symbolic because he heads the Nationalists, who governed all of China until Chiang Kai-shek, the party's longtime leader, lost a civil war against the Communists in 1949 and fled to Taiwan. Mr. Lien will be the first party leader to step foot on the mainland since then.
The Nationalists lost their hold on Taiwan's presidency in 2000 and are now the largest opposition party. Mr. Lien, a former vice president, has lost two presidential contests to Mr. Chen, most recently last year. But he led his party to an unexpected victory in legislative elections against Mr. Chen's Democratic Progressive Party in December.
His eight-day visit to the mainland includes an extended stay in Nanjing, the old Nationalist capital. He will also stop in Xian, his birthplace, and Shanghai. In Beijing on Friday, Mr. Lien is scheduled to meet Mr. Hu and deliver an address at Beijing University.
The Nationalists have staked out a moderate position on China relations, rejecting mainland demands for reunification but also opposing Mr. Chen's efforts to solidify the island's de facto independent status.
Mr. Lien has proposed negotiating a 50-year moratorium on changes in the status quo that would rule out Taiwanese independence but also oblige the mainland to forswear the use of force against Taiwan.
"The Chinese mainland has experienced dramatic changes both in politics and the economy over the past 18 years," Mr. Lien said Monday ahead of his departure Tuesday morning. "We must face the changes."
China, in turn, is expected to offer some concessions to Taiwan during Mr. Lien's visit. But there is no sign of a major shift in approach, with Mr. Hu emphasizing a mix of economic incentives and military threats to keep Taiwan in line.
Chinese analysts say Beijing has plunged deeply into Taiwan's domestic politics in a bid to isolate the strongest supporters of independence and make Mr. Chen refrain from trying to legalize Taiwan's independence through changes to the Constitution.
Sun Shengliang, a Taiwan expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing, said in a signed commentary in state-run news media on Monday that the strategy is working. He said Taiwan politicians were racing against each other to improve cross-strait relations, putting pressure on Mr. Chen.
By JOSEPH KAHN
Published: April 26, 2005
BEIJING, April 25 - Taiwan's two main opposition leaders will make consecutive visits to mainland China over the next two weeks as Beijing steps up a campaign to isolate the island's independence movement.
Both opposition figures, Lien Chan, chairman of the Nationalist Party, and James Soong, who heads the pro-unification People First Party, are expected to meet Hu Jintao, China's Communist Party chief, and conduct the highest-level dialogue between the rivals since the Communist Party took power in 1949.
Beijing has not invited Taiwan's president, Chen Shui-bian, to visit the mainland and has ruled out talks with him unless he accepts the "one China" formula under which Beijing claims sovereignty over Taiwan, a condition Mr. Chen has rejected.
But China's overture to the opposition groups put Mr. Chen's government on the defensive, forcing it to cede ground to politicians who tend to take a softer line on relations with the government in Beijing, Taiwanese officials and Chinese analysts said.
Mr. Hu, who consolidated his power as China's top leader late last year, has pursued a strategy to halt what the mainland sees as the steady drift toward formal independence by Taiwan, which is separated from the mainland by the 100-mile-wide Taiwan Strait and is regarded by China as a renegade province.
In early March, the Communist Party-controlled legislature passed a measure authorizing the use of force if Taiwan moves too far toward independence, which the United States, Taiwan's main ally, criticized as a provocation.
Mr. Hu's subsequent invitations to Taiwanese opposition leaders appear designed to show that China will use force only as a last resort and that it welcomes politicians who want to mend fences.
The Taiwan strategy has unfolded as China has waged a populist campaign against Japan, which it accuses of whitewashing abuses it committed during World War II.
In both cases, Mr. Hu has combined assertions of China's national interests with flashy gestures and hands-on diplomacy that run counter to his reputation as a cautious party apparatchik, analysts said.
Mr. Lien's trip, which begins on Tuesday, follows a lower profile but groundbreaking visit by his deputy three weeks ago. Mr. Chen condemned that trip as an unauthorized attempt to negotiate with Taiwan's archrival. Mr. Soong has a separate trip scheduled to begin May 5.
"It is true that these trips are creating some turmoil in Taiwan politics," Joseph Wu, who heads Taiwan's official Mainland Affairs Council, said in a telephone interview. "They are part of China's tactic of creating divisions in Taiwan that it can exploit."
Mr. Wu said the government has warned Mr. Lien and Mr. Soong not to "sign agreements" that infringe on Taiwan's rights, which he said would break the law. Mr. Chen and Mr. Lien discussed the opposition leader's trip on Monday to avoid such problems, he said.
"If Lien Chan explains some facts to China's leaders about the reality in Taiwan, then we could turn a potential crisis into a positive good," said Mr. Wu, who oversees Taiwan's mainland relations.
Independence-leaning Taiwanese politicians have called Mr. Lien and Mr. Soong traitors for "selling out Taiwan." But the two appear to have calculated that the mood has shifted in favor of warmer cross-strait ties and that they could get credit for helping to lower tensions.
Chinese officials have not commented publicly on the visits. But Jia Qinglin, a member of the Politburo Standing Committee, promised deeper engagement with Taiwan in a recent address.
"As long as it benefits the Taiwanese compatriots, as long as it helps enhance cross-strait exchange, as long as it advances the peaceful reunification of the motherland, we will all try our very best to do it," he said.
Mr. Lien's trip is deeply symbolic because he heads the Nationalists, who governed all of China until Chiang Kai-shek, the party's longtime leader, lost a civil war against the Communists in 1949 and fled to Taiwan. Mr. Lien will be the first party leader to step foot on the mainland since then.
The Nationalists lost their hold on Taiwan's presidency in 2000 and are now the largest opposition party. Mr. Lien, a former vice president, has lost two presidential contests to Mr. Chen, most recently last year. But he led his party to an unexpected victory in legislative elections against Mr. Chen's Democratic Progressive Party in December.
His eight-day visit to the mainland includes an extended stay in Nanjing, the old Nationalist capital. He will also stop in Xian, his birthplace, and Shanghai. In Beijing on Friday, Mr. Lien is scheduled to meet Mr. Hu and deliver an address at Beijing University.
The Nationalists have staked out a moderate position on China relations, rejecting mainland demands for reunification but also opposing Mr. Chen's efforts to solidify the island's de facto independent status.
Mr. Lien has proposed negotiating a 50-year moratorium on changes in the status quo that would rule out Taiwanese independence but also oblige the mainland to forswear the use of force against Taiwan.
"The Chinese mainland has experienced dramatic changes both in politics and the economy over the past 18 years," Mr. Lien said Monday ahead of his departure Tuesday morning. "We must face the changes."
China, in turn, is expected to offer some concessions to Taiwan during Mr. Lien's visit. But there is no sign of a major shift in approach, with Mr. Hu emphasizing a mix of economic incentives and military threats to keep Taiwan in line.
Chinese analysts say Beijing has plunged deeply into Taiwan's domestic politics in a bid to isolate the strongest supporters of independence and make Mr. Chen refrain from trying to legalize Taiwan's independence through changes to the Constitution.
Sun Shengliang, a Taiwan expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences in Beijing, said in a signed commentary in state-run news media on Monday that the strategy is working. He said Taiwan politicians were racing against each other to improve cross-strait relations, putting pressure on Mr. Chen.
对台方式不会有太大改变?
好象刚好说反了
原则不会动摇(但对原则的具体表述和理解会有所不同)
但统战方式肯定会呈现出多样与灵活的特征
起码在我心中应当是
好象刚好说反了
原则不会动摇(但对原则的具体表述和理解会有所不同)
但统战方式肯定会呈现出多样与灵活的特征
起码在我心中应当是